Club Friendlies 3
Jan 16, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Městský Stadión
  • Condé 52' goal
  • goal Alilović 54'
  • goal Manev 83'

MFK Karvina vs Novi Pazar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MFK Karvina

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 8.30am
MFK Karvina 2 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin

Novi Pazar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 2.00pm
Akhmat Grozny 1 - 0 Novi Pazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Novi Pazar had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Novi Pazar win was 1-2 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

MFK Karvina 40.39%
Draw 25.17% (+0.06)
Novi Pazar 34.44% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.04% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.5% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 22.5% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 55.94% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 44.06% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 32.58% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 67.42% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 18.48% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 81.52% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

MFK Karvina 30.74%
Draw 43.57%
Novi Pazar 25.69%

Team To Score First

MFK Karvina 50.73% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.34% (+0.05)
Novi Pazar 42.93% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.51%
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 30.46%
Over 9 47.2%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 41.5%
Over 10.5 36.54%
Under 10.5 63.46%

MFK Karvina Goals

Over 1.5 42.36% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.64% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.92% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.08% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.19% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.81% (+0.05)

Novi Pazar Goals

Over 0.5 70% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 30% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 38.02% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 61.98% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 15.69% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.31% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.38% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.62% (+0.06)

Score analysis

MFK Karvina 40.38%
Draw 25.17%
Novi Pazar 34.44%
MFK Karvina
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.61% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.95% (-0.05)
Total : 40.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.17%
Novi Pazar
1-2 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.54% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.14% (-0.06)
Total : 34.44%