Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Novi Pazar had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Novi Pazar win was 1-2 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.