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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2020
Scotland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route C
Oct 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Israel national football team

Scotland
0 - 0
Israel


McGinn (58'), Fraser (105+2'), Paterson (120')
FT
(aet)

Natcho (13'), Bitton (56'), Weissman (88')
Scotland win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

The teams were locked at 0-0 after extra time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro 2020 qualifying playoff between Scotland and Israel at Hampden Park, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.74%. A win for Israel had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%).

Result
ScotlandDrawIsrael
55.74%21.05%23.2%
Both teams to score 63.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.22%34.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.26%56.74%
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48%12.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.46%38.54%
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23%27.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65%63.35%
Score Analysis
    Scotland 55.74%
    Israel 23.2%
    Draw 21.05%
ScotlandDrawIsrael
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 7.51%
1-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 6.66%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.27%
4-1 @ 3.46%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 2.22%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.12%
4-3 @ 0.95%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 55.74%
1-1 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-1 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 23.2%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Scotland
1-1
Israel
Christie (45' pen.)
Forrest (34')
Zahavi (73')
Peretz (28')
> Match Report
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Scotland
3-2
Israel
Forrest (34', 43', 64')
McGregor (40'), Phillips (89')
Kayal (9'), Zahavi (75')
Taha (52'), Peretz (70'), Ben Harush (86')
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Israel
2-1
Scotland
Peretz (52'), Tierney (75' og.)
Ben Harush (23'), Natcho (25')
Mulgrew (25' pen.)
Souttar (28'), Robertson (88')
Souttar (61')
Build-up
Liverpool's Andrew Robertson pictured in September 2020
Andrew Robertson: 'We are not lacking motivation ahead of Israel clash'
Scotland will be missing a number of players for the must-win match.
Oct 8, 08:55
 Liverpool's Andrew Robertson pictured in September 2020
Andy Robertson: 'We must focus amid coronavirus absences'
Three Scotland squad members have to self-isolate following a positive test for Stuart Armstrong.
Oct 7, 20:22
 Israel's Eran Zahavi celebrates scoring against Scotland on Septmeber 4, 2020
Willi Ruttensteiner urges Israel to remain focused amid Scotland issues
The Israel boss will be without six players at Hampden Park because of the pandemic.
Oct 7, 20:12
 Scotland manager Steve Clarke pictured on September 4, 2020
Steve Clarke alters plans after losing three players because of coronavirus
Stuart Armstrong tested positive and close contacts Kieran Tierney and Ryan Christie are also out.
Oct 7, 16:53
 Stuart Armstrong pictured for Scotland on September 4, 2020
Stuart Armstrong out of Scotland triple-header after testing positive for coronavirus
Stuart Armstrong returned a negative test for on arrival at Oriam on Monday but the supplementary UEFA test returned a positive result on Wednesday morning.
Oct 7, 15:47
 Scotland manager Steve Clarke pictured in November 2019
A closer look at Scotland's playoff record ahead of Israel match
Scotland have had mixed fortunes in the fixtures in the past.
Oct 7, 10:00
 Norwich City's Kenny McLean pictured in September 2020
Kenny McLean keen to embrace pressure ahead of Israel playoff
Scotland need to win Thursday's match to keep alive their hopes of European Championship qualification.
Oct 5, 17:47
 Steven Reid pictured in Scotland training in September 2019
Steven Reid expecting "completely different" playoff tie with Israel
Reid knows he is facing one of the country's most important games for years.
Oct 5, 17:44
 Scotland manager Steve Clarke pictured on September 4, 2020
Steve Clarke tells Scotland players they could create history against Israel
The national team boss named his 26-man squad for the crunch Euro 2020 play-off semi-final clash.
Sep 29, 17:32
 Ofir Marciano pictured in March 2019
Ofir Marciano hopeful inside knowledge can help Israel past Scotland
The 30-year-old Hibs goalkeeper played in all 10 of his country's games in 2019.
Aug 31, 22:36
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