Eerste Divisie Gameweek 1
Helmond
Aug 9, 2026 11.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Dean Huiberts 9' goal
  • Dean Huiberts 65' yellowcard
  • Helgi Fródi Ingason 66' yellowcard
  • goal Fedde de Jong 45'+3'
  • yellowcard D. Warmerdam 66'
  • yellowcard Jannes Wieckhoff 90'+2'

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm
FC Eindhoven 1 - 0 Helmond
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Mauro Lenaerts

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm
Emmen 1 - 0 De Graafschap
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Julian Kania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Helmond Sport 27.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 22.95% ▲ (+0.03)
De Graafschap 49.17% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.96% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 18.47% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 61.32% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 38.63% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 38.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 61.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 23.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 76.64% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Helmond Sport 25.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 38.48% ▲ (+0.03)
De Graafschap 35.69% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Helmond Sport 41.45% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.97% ▲ (+0.02)
De Graafschap 53.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.32%
Under 8 25.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 52.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 36.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 41.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 58.05% ▼ (-0.07)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 1.5 33.87%
Under 1.5 66.13%
Over 2.5 13.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.52%
Under 3.5 95.48%

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 79.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 20.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 52.14% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 47.86% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 26.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 73.74% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 11.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 88.6% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Helmond Sport 27.88%
Draw 22.96%
De Graafschap 49.16%
Helmond Sport
2-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 27.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.96%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 10% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.44%
Other @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 49.16%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
Helmond
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Lion Semic 60' yellowcard
  • Noah Makanza 73' yellowcard
  • Justin Ogenia 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stijn Bultman 33'
  • yellowcard 36'
  • yellowcard 37'
  • yellowcard Nart Ahmeti 46'
  • yellowcard Kyano Kwint 46'
  • yellowcard Tygo Grotenhuis 46'
  • yellowcard Milan Smits 65'
  • yellowcard Kaya Symons 65'
  • yellowcard Silvan Bröker 77'
  • yellowcard Silvan Bröker 84'
Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
Helmond
  • Arjen van der Heide 7' goal
  • Othniël Raterink 57' goal
  • Reuven Niemeijer 62' goal
  • goal Lennerd Daneels 67'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
Helmond
May 9, 2025 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Jonas Scholz 24' goal
  • goal Mimoun Mahi 31'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 50'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 52'
  • yellowcard Wanya Marcal 58'
  • goal Philip Brittijn 74'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 6
De Graafschap
Sep 13, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
Helmond
  • Arjen van der Heide 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim El Kadiri 68' goal
  • Anass Najah 86' yellowcard
  • Yannick Fereira Eduardo 90'+2' goal
  • goal Theo Golliard 12'
  • goal Dario Sits 27'
  • yellowcard Jonas Scholz 45'
  • yellowcard Justin Ogenia 49'
  • goal Jonas Scholz 83'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Helmond
Feb 16, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Alvaro Marin 26' goal
  • Alvaro Marin 43' goal
  • Martijn Kaars 90'+5' goal
  • goal Simon Colyn 18'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
De Graafschap
Sep 18, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
Helmond
  • Basar Onal 44' goal
  • Basar Onal 55' goal
  • yellowcard Giannis-Foivos Botos 59'
  • yellowcard Enrik Ostrc 59'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 60'
  • goal Alvaro Marin Sesma 90'

Form Data

Helmond 1 - 0 Sint-Truiden
Helmond 0 - 0 Al-Taawoun
Westerlo 0 - 2 Helmond
Gemert 1 - 1 Helmond
Helmond 1 - 2 Larnaca
Helmond 0 - 4 Panathinaikos
De Graafschap 1 - 5 Excelsior
De Graafschap 0 - 0 Al Jazira
De Graafschap 0 - 0 Kickers Emden
De Graafschap 4 - 2 Kifisia
De Graafschap 3 - 6 Telstar
De Graafschap 1 - 2 AEK Athens