Eerste Divisie Gameweek 1
Helmond
Aug 9, 2026 11.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Dean Huiberts 9' goal
  • Dean Huiberts 65' yellowcard
  • Helgi Fródi Ingason 66' yellowcard
  • goal Fedde de Jong 45'+3'
  • yellowcard D. Warmerdam 66'
  • yellowcard Jannes Wieckhoff 90'+2'

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm
FC Eindhoven 1 - 0 Helmond

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.00pm
Emmen 1 - 0 De Graafschap

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Helmond Sport 27.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 22.95% ▲ (+0.03)
De Graafschap 49.17% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.96% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 18.47% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 61.32% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 38.63% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 38.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 61.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 23.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 76.64% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Helmond Sport 25.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 38.48% ▲ (+0.03)
De Graafschap 35.69% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Helmond Sport 41.45% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.97% ▲ (+0.02)
De Graafschap 53.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.32%
Under 8 25.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 52.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 36.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 41.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 58.05% ▼ (-0.07)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 1.5 33.87%
Under 1.5 66.13%
Over 2.5 13.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.52%
Under 3.5 95.48%

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 79.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 20.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 52.14% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 47.86% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 26.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 73.74% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 11.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 88.6% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Helmond Sport 27.88%
Draw 22.96%
De Graafschap 49.16%
Helmond Sport
2-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 27.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.96%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 10% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.44%
Other @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 49.16%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Helmond
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Lion Semic 60' yellowcard
  • Noah Makanza 73' yellowcard
  • Justin Ogenia 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nart Ahmeti 46'
  • yellowcard Kyano Kwint 46'
  • yellowcard Tygo Grotenhuis 46'
  • yellowcard Milan Smits 65'
  • yellowcard Kaya Symons 65'
  • yellowcard Silvan Bröker 77'
Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Helmond
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
Helmond
May 9, 2025 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Jonas Scholz 24' goal
  • goal Mimoun Mahi 31'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 50'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 52'
  • yellowcard Wanya Marcal 58'
  • goal Philip Brittijn 74'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 6
De Graafschap
Sep 13, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
Helmond
  • Arjen van der Heide 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim El Kadiri 68' goal
  • Anass Najah 86' yellowcard
  • Yannick Fereira Eduardo 90'+2' goal
  • goal Theo Golliard 12'
  • goal Dario Sits 27'
  • yellowcard Jonas Scholz 45'
  • yellowcard Justin Ogenia 49'
  • goal Jonas Scholz 83'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Helmond
Feb 16, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Alvaro Marin 26' goal
  • Alvaro Marin 43' goal
  • Martijn Kaars 90'+5' goal
  • goal Simon Colyn 18'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
De Graafschap
Sep 18, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
Helmond
  • Basar Onal 44' goal
  • Basar Onal 55' goal
  • yellowcard Giannis-Foivos Botos 59'
  • yellowcard Enrik Ostrc 59'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 60'
  • goal Alvaro Marin Sesma 90'

Form Data

Helmond 1 - 0 Sint-Truiden
Helmond 0 - 0 Al-Taawoun
Westerlo 0 - 2 Helmond
Gemert 1 - 1 Helmond
Helmond 1 - 2 Larnaca
Helmond 0 - 4 Panathinaikos
De Graafschap 1 - 5 Excelsior
De Graafschap 0 - 0 Al Jazira
De Graafschap 0 - 0 Kickers Emden
De Graafschap 4 - 2 Kifisia
De Graafschap 3 - 6 Telstar
De Graafschap 1 - 2 AEK Athens