Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.