Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
Apr 10, 2026 7.00pm
De Geusselt

MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.45pm
Emmen 2 - 1 MVV
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 11.15am
Helmond 2 - 2 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Maik Lukowicz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Helmond Sport has a probability of 35.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win is 1-2 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result

MVV Maastricht 40.85% (+0.07)
Draw 23.41% (-0.02)
Helmond Sport 35.74% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.63%
Under 1.5 18.37%
Over 2.5 61.02% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 38.98% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.63% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.92% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 77.08% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 34.56%
Draw 38.22%
Helmond Sport 27.22%

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 50.76% (+0.08)
No Goal 4.36%
Helmond Sport 44.88% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 68.63% (-0.15)
Equal 8 10.46% (+0.03)
Under 8 20.91% (+0.13)
Over 9 56.92% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.03)
Under 9 31.37% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 45.01% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 54.99% (+0.15)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 45.58% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.42% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.09% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.91% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.01%
Under 3.5 91.99%

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5 71.93% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.07% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.39% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.61% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.13% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.52% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 40.85%
Draw 23.41%
Helmond Sport 35.75%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.34% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.72% (+0.01)
Total : 40.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 23.41%
Helmond Sport
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 6.23%
Total : 35.75%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Dec 5, 2025 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Maik Lukowicz 40' goal
  • Noah Makanza Mbeleba 53' goal
  • Andre Leipold 69' yellowcard
  • goal Stan Van Dessel 29'
  • goal Stan Van Dessel 56'
  • goal Thijme Verheijen 59'
  • goal Sven Braken 80'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2025 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT SolarUnie Stadion
  • Anthony van den Hurk 10' goal
  • Mohammed Amin Doudah 14' goal
  • Anthony van den Hurk 23' goal
  • Amir Absalem 54' yellowcard
  • Dario Sits 78' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT De Geusselt
  • Ilano Silva Timas 23' goal
  • Dario Sits 81' yellowcard
  • goal Tobias Pachonik 25'
  • yellowcard Alen Dizdarevic 51'
  • goal Dario Sits 78'
  • yellowcard Anthony van den Hurk 84'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 33
Apr 5, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Tunahan Tasci 23' goal
  • Marco Kleinen 70' yellowcard
  • Dailon Rocha 71' goal
  • Mart Remans 79' goal
  • yellowcard Bryan van Hove 56'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT SolarUnie Stadion
  • Martijn Kaars 29' goal
  • Enrik Ostrc 67' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Marin 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nabil El Basri 31'
  • goal Ferre Slegers 79'
  • goal Dailon Rocha 90'+2'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Arno Van Keilegom 51' goal
  • goal Koen Kostons 33'
  • goal Sven Blummel 69'