Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.