Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.