Club Friendlies 3
Jul 12, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • 16' yellowcard
  • 37' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mambo 80' goal
  • 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 16'
  • yellowcard 27'
  • goal Barnabás Varga 38'
  • yellowcard 45'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 45'+1'
  • yellowcard 45'+1'
  • yellowcard 86'

De Graafschap vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 6.00pm
Heerenveen 7 - 2 De Graafschap

AEK Athens

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

De Graafschap 35.17% (-0.20)
Draw 24.59% (+0.22)
AEK Athens 40.23% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.55% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.67% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 20.33% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 57% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 43% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 35.05% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 64.95% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 20.75% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 79.25% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

De Graafschap 29.29% (+0.08)
Draw 40% (-0.05)
AEK Athens 30.7% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

De Graafschap 46.53% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.4% (+0.09)
AEK Athens 48.07% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.73% (-0.09)
Equal 8 10% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.27% (+0.11)
Over 9 54.9% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.83% (-0.03)
Under 9 34.27% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 44.08% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.92% (+0.04)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 1.5 39.3% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 60.7% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.58% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83.42% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.93% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.07% (+0.04)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 74.3% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.7% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.44%
Under 1.5 56.56%
Over 2.5 19.08% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 80.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.89% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.11% (+0.05)

Score analysis

De Graafschap 35.17%
Draw 24.6%
AEK Athens 40.24%
De Graafschap
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.19% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.8% (-0.08)
Total : 35.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.03)
Total : 24.6%
AEK Athens
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.75% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.18% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.16%
2-3 @ 3.52% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.76% (-0.08)
Total : 40.24%