Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.