Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.64%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.