Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.