Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.