Loko. Leipzig
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Pfeffer (9'), Rangelov (56')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Demirbay (5' pen., 87'), Bellarabi (14')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Lokomotive Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lokomotive Leipzig had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Lokomotive Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Lokomotive Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
17.05%	19.53%	63.42%

Both teams to score 58.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.26%

36.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.1%

58.9%

Lokomotive Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22%

34.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49%

71.51%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.97%

11.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.66%

35.34%

Score Analysis

Lokomotive Leipzig 17.05%

Bayer Leverkusen 63.42%

Draw 19.53%

Lokomotive Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.72% 1-0 @ 4.05% 2-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.66% Total : 17.05%	1-1 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.53%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.32% 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 7.24% 0-3 @ 6.85% 1-4 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 3.82% 0-4 @ 3.78% 2-4 @ 2.11% 1-5 @ 1.76% 0-5 @ 1.67% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.42%