Czech Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mestsky Stadion

MFK Karvina
3 - 1
Mlada Boleslav

Sigut (35'), Vecheta (56', 61')
Krcik (12'), Cavos (27'), Tomic (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Masek (30')
Penner (76'), Mandous (78')
Penner (90+1')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between MFK Karvina and Mlada Boleslav.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceske Budejovice 2-3 MFK Karvina
Sunday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Bohemians 1905
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MFK Karvina would win this match.

Result
MFK KarvinaDrawMlada Boleslav
49.32% (-0.311 -0.31)24.46% (0.179 0.18)26.23% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.456 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (-0.661 -0.66)47.49% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (-0.615 -0.61)69.7% (0.61399999999999 0.61)
MFK Karvina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)19.3% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (-0.634 -0.63)51.05% (0.633 0.63)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.244 -0.24)32.23% (0.245 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (-0.276 -0.28)68.72% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    MFK Karvina 49.31%
    Mlada Boleslav 26.23%
    Draw 24.45%
MFK KarvinaDrawMlada Boleslav
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.23%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mlada Boleslav
1-1
MFK Karvina
Vojta (45+3')
Vydra (28')
Memic (57')
Dec 13, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Mlada Boleslav
2-2
MFK Karvina
Ladra (25'), Yusuf (64')
Suchomel (53'), Marecek (54'), Sakala (62')
Memic (7'), Dolezal (13')
Bohac (22'), Fleisman (34'), Dolezal (45+3'), Traore (45+3')
Aug 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
MFK Karvina
1-2
Mlada Boleslav
Mikus (70')
Svozil (90+5')
Jawo (6'), Yusuf (19')
Matejovsky (39'), Kadlec (42'), Pulkrab (70'), Ladra (86'), Trmal (90+5')