Copa Sudamericana
May 29, 2025 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Kevin Gutierrez 33' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gutierrez 33' yellowcard
  • Abiel Osorio 42' yellowcard
  • Abiel Osorio 42' yellowcard
  • Alexis Soto 59' yellowcard
  • Alexis Soto 59' yellowcard
  • David Barbona 67' goal
  • David Barbona 67' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 25'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 25'
  • goal Sebastian Assis 45'+1'
  • goal Sebastian Assis 45'+1'
  • goal Leandro Otormin 51'
  • goal Leandro Otormin 51'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Anasco 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Anasco 90'+4'

Defensa y Justicia vs Cerro Largo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 14, 2025 11.00pm
Defensa 1 - 1 U. Catolica

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 15, 2025 1.30am
Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Vitoria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Defensa y Justicia 62.94% (+0.53)
Draw 23.13% (-0.17)
Cerro Largo 13.93% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.8% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.63% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.37% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.81% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 78.19% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.6% (+0.02)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 82.13% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 17.87% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 51.35% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 48.65% (-0.30)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 48.47% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 51.53% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 14.3% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 85.7% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Defensa y Justicia 62.92%
Draw 23.13%
Cerro Largo 13.93%
Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.85% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 13.65% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.84% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.37% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 62.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 9.21% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 23.13%
Cerro Largo
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 3.49% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 13.93%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 4, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Agustin Perez 82' yellowcard
  • Agustin Perez 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Cannavo 88'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Cannavo 88'