Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 2
Cerro Largo

Barbona (67', 67')
Gutierrez (33'), Gutierrez (33'), Osorio (42'), Osorio (42'), Soto (59'), Soto (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Assis (45+1', 45+1'), Otormin (51', 51')
Gianoli (25'), Gianoli (25'), Anasco (90+4'), Anasco (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Defensa 1-1 U. Catolica
Wednesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 25 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Cerro Largo
62.94% ( 0.52)	23.13% ( -0.16)	13.93% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 39.8% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.63% (

-0.03)

57.37% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81% (

-0.03)

78.19% (

0.03)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

0.18)

17.87% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

0.3)

48.65% (

-0.3)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.47% (

-0.56)

51.53% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.3% (

-0.38)

85.7% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 62.92%

Cerro Largo 13.93%

Draw 23.13%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 15.85% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 62.92%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.41% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 13.93%