Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez
Aragua0 - 1Mineros
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Aragua and Mineros.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mineros win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mineros win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mineros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aragua | Draw | Mineros |
| 30.95% | 28.16% | 40.89% |
| Both teams to score 46.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
