Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 2, 2020 at 1am UK
Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Tigre
1 - 3
Guarani

Magnin (36', 36')
Cardozo (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Romana (20'), Florentin (54'), Dominguez (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Tigre and Club Guarani.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
TigreDrawClub Guarani
45.2%27.02%27.78%
Both teams to score 48.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34%56.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38%77.62%
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02%24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37%59.63%
Club Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12%35.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34%72.66%
Score Analysis
    Tigre 45.2%
    Club Guarani 27.78%
    Draw 27.02%
TigreDrawClub Guarani
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 27.78%