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Copa Libertadores

America Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Independencia

America Mineiro
0 - 1
Guarani


Eder (3'), Patric (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Colman (90+1')
Benitez (80'), Samudio (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between America Mineiro and Club Guarani.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
America MineiroDrawClub Guarani
46.12%24.44%29.45%
Both teams to score 57.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74%45.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39%67.61%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26%19.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23%51.77%
Club Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49%64.51%
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 46.12%
    Club Guarani 29.45%
    Draw 24.43%
America MineiroDrawClub Guarani
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-1 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.45%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Guarani

America Mineiro
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Club Guarani
0.0%
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