Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Swansea 0 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 27.44% and a draw has a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Burnley win is 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

Wrexham 46.13%
Draw 26.47%
Burnley 27.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 26.74% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.76% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.65%
Under 3.5 73.35% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.59%
Under 4.5 85.41%

First Half Winner

Wrexham 33.82%
Draw 41.69%
Burnley 24.49%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 52.22%
No Goal 8.09%
Burnley 39.69%

Corners

Over 8 64.72%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 23.85%
Over 9 52.3%
Equal 9 12.43%
Under 9 35.28%
Over 10.5 40.08%
Under 10.5 59.92%

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 43.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.66% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.8%
Under 2.5 81.2%
Over 3.5 6.86%
Under 3.5 93.14%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.73% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.46%
Under 1.5 71.54%
Over 2.5 9.37% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.63% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.64%
Under 3.5 97.36%

Score analysis

Wrexham 46.12%
Draw 26.47%
Burnley 27.45%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 10.86% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 6.74%
Total : 46.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.47%
Burnley
0-1 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.45%