Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 8.00pm
Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Preston 1 - 3 Bristol City
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 34.55% and a draw has a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-0 (11.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result

Burnley 34.55% (-4.61)
Draw 29.2% (-0.31)
Bristol City 36.26% (+4.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.79% (+1.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.04% (+1.35)
Under 1.5 33.96% (-1.34)
Over 2.5 39.99% (+1.10)
Under 2.5 60.01% (-1.10)
Over 3.5 20.5% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 79.5% (-0.82)
Over 4.5 10.51% (+0.57)
Under 4.5 89.49% (-0.57)

First Half Winner

Burnley 27.6% (-2.14)
Draw 42.76% (-1.75)
Bristol City 29.64% (+3.88)

Team To Score First

Burnley 42.85% (-4.31)
No Goal 11.12% (-0.67)
Bristol City 46.03% (+4.99)

Corners

Over 8 62.53% (+3.39)
Equal 8 11.34% (+0.42)
Under 8 26.13% (-3.81)
Over 9 50.49% (+2.59)
Equal 9 12.04% (+0.80)
Under 9 37.47% (-3.39)
Over 10.5 38.85% (+1.61)
Under 10.5 61.15% (-1.61)

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 30.1% (-2.79)
Under 1.5 69.9% (+2.79)
Over 2.5 10.34% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 89.66% (+1.40)
Over 3.5 2.87% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 97.13% (+0.57)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 66.15% (+4.40)
Under 0.5 33.85% (-4.40)
Over 1.5 31.44% (+4.09)
Under 1.5 68.56% (-4.08)
Over 2.5 11.15% (+2.33)
Under 2.5 88.85% (-2.33)
Over 3.5 3.33% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 96.67% (-0.82)

Score analysis

Burnley 34.55%
Draw 29.2%
Bristol City 36.27%
Burnley
1-0 @ 11.24% (-1.46)
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.55)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-1.11)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.86% (-0.58)
Total : 34.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16% (+0.32)
0-0 @ 11.12% (-0.67)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.2%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 11.62% (+0.85)
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.88)
0-2 @ 6.52% (+1.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (+0.65)
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.47)
2-3 @ 1.87% (+0.32)
Other @ 3.32% (+0.82)
Total : 36.27%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Zian Flemming 16' goal
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Luke McNally 22' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Scott Twine 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Jaidon Anthony 23'
  • yellowcard Maxime Esteve 67'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 69'
  • yellowcard James Trafford 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 74'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Tommy Conway 60' goal
  • goal Manuel Benson 33'
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 62'
Championship Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Manuel Benson 4' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 67' goal
  • goal Nahki Wells 27'
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Vokes 45' goal
  • James Tarkowski 67' yellowcard
  • Steven Defour 68' goal
  • Tendayi Darikwa 92' yellowcard
Championship
Dec 28, 2015 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andre Gray 37' goal
  • Andre Gray 45' goal
  • David Jones 45' yellowcard
  • Scott Arfield 71' goal
  • Andre Gray 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Baker 32'