Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Hjalmar Ekdal 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Aaron Ramsey 56' goal
  • Kyle Walker 83' yellowcard
  • Armando Broja 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Rob Dickie 82'
  • goal Yu Hirakawa 90'+1'

Burnley vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 8.00pm
Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Preston 1 - 3 Bristol City
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (11.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 34.53%
Draw 29.41%
Bristol City 36.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 33.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40.11%
Under 2.5 59.89%
Over 3.5 20.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.57% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Burnley 27.55%
Draw 42.85%
Bristol City 29.6%

Team To Score First

Burnley 42.63%
No Goal 11.17%
Bristol City 46.2%

Corners

Over 8 62%
Equal 8 11.24%
Under 8 26.76%
Over 9 50.13%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 38%
Over 10.5 38.69%
Under 10.5 61.31%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 30.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 10.31%
Under 2.5 89.69%
Over 3.5 2.89%
Under 3.5 97.11%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 66.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.54%
Under 1.5 68.46%
Over 2.5 11.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Burnley 34.54%
Draw 29.42%
Bristol City 36.03%
Burnley
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.42%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.03%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Zian Flemming 16' goal
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Luke McNally 22' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Scott Twine 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Jaidon Anthony 23'
  • yellowcard Maxime Esteve 67'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 69'
  • yellowcard James Trafford 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 74'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Tommy Conway 60' goal
  • goal Manuel Benson 33'
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 62'
Championship Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Manuel Benson 4' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 67' goal
  • goal Nahki Wells 27'
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Vokes 45' goal
  • James Tarkowski 67' yellowcard
  • Steven Defour 68' goal
  • Tendayi Darikwa 92' yellowcard
Championship
Dec 28, 2015 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andre Gray 37' goal
  • Andre Gray 45' goal
  • David Jones 45' yellowcard
  • Scott Arfield 71' goal
  • Andre Gray 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Baker 32'