Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium

QPR
0 - 5
Burnley

Edwards (50'), Colback (64'), Ashby (82'), Frey (89')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cullen (9'), Flemming (20', 28'), Sarmiento (62', 90+2')
Mejbri (8'), Cullen (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Swansea
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Burnley
27.09% ( -1.26)	26.75% ( -0.01)	46.16% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 48.41% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.97% (

-0.64)

56.03% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.88% (

-0.52)

77.12% (

0.52)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

-1.36)

36.11% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11% (

-1.41)

72.89% (

1.41)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

0.33)

24.24% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

0.46)

58.59% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 27.09%

Burnley 46.16%

Draw 26.74%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.09%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.51% Total : 46.16%