Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.