Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 12.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Ronnie Edwards 50' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 64' yellowcard
  • Harrison Ashby 82' yellowcard
  • Michael Frey 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 8'
  • goal Josh Cullen 9'
  • goal Zian Flemming 20'
  • goal Zian Flemming 28'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 45'+1'
  • goal Jeremy Sarmiento 62'
  • goal Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+2'

Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
QPR 1 - 2 Swansea
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Michael Frey

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 5.30pm
Burnley 2 - 1 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Josh Brownhill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result

Queens Park Rangers 27.09% (-1.26)
Draw 26.75% (-0.01)
Burnley 46.16% (+1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.41% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.97% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 56.03% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 22.88% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 77.12% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 10.04% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 89.96% (+0.33)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 63.89% (-1.36)
Under 0.5 36.11% (+1.36)
Over 1.5 27.11% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 72.89% (+1.41)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 75.76% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 24.24% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 41.41% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 58.59% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Queens Park Rangers 27.09%
Draw 26.74%
Burnley 46.16%
Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.14)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.75% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.74%
Burnley
0-1 @ 12.4% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 8.95% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 8.79% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 4.23% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 4.15% (+0.22)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.47% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.16%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • yellowcard Daniel Bennie 78'
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Manuel Benson 76' goal
  • goal Sam Field 58'
  • goal Chris Martin 87'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2022 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • goal Johann Berg Gudmundsson 19'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 45'+2'
  • goal Nathan Tella 71'
Championship
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Vokes 61' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Polter 5'
  • yellowcard Cole Kpekawa 44'
Championship
Dec 12, 2015 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League
Jan 10, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Scott Arfield 12' goal
  • Danny Ings 37' goal
  • Dean Marney 45' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 54' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Austin 33'
  • yellowcard Joey Barton 45'
  • yellowcard Armand Traore 76'