/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
-
Mamadou Doumbia
8'
-
Moussa Sissoko
59'
-
Moussa Sissoko
60'
-
Edo Kayembe
66'
-
Imran Louza
69'
-
Edo Kayembe
69'
-
Vakoun Issouf Bayo
84'
-
Ryan Andrews
90'+7'
-
Zian Flemming
43'
-
Josh Brownhill
58'
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Zian Flemming
61'
-
Josh Cullen
66'
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Jeremy Sarmiento
90'+7'
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James Trafford
90'+8'
Watford vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Watford
33.39%
▼
(-0.78)
Draw
28.4%
▲
(+0.20)
Burnley
38.21%
▲
(+0.59)
Both Teams to Score:
46.4%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.13%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 2.5
59.88%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 3.5
19.86%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 3.5
80.15%
▲
(+0.62)
Over 4.5
8.26%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 4.5
91.75%
▲
(+0.36)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
66.59%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 0.5
33.42%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 1.5
29.96%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 1.5
70.05%
▲
(+1.05)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
69.69%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
30.32%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
33.5%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
66.5%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Watford
33.39%
Draw
28.4%
Burnley
38.21%
Watford
1-0
@
11.1%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.39%
2-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.39%
Draw
1-1
@
13.25%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.4%
0-0 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.4%
Burnley
0-1
@
12.09%
▲
(+0.35)
1-2 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 38.21%
1-2 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 38.21%