Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Burnley

Doumbia (8')
Sissoko (59'), Kayembe (66'), Louza (69'), Issouf Bayo (84'), Andrews (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Flemming (43'), Brownhill (58')
Flemming (61'), Cullen (66'), Sarmiento (90+7'), Trafford (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Watford
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Norwich
Friday, April 11 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Burnley
33.39% ( -0.78)	28.4% ( 0.2)	38.21% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 46.4% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13% (

-0.79)

59.88% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86% (

-0.61)

80.15% (

0.61)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

-0.94)

33.42% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

-1.04)

70.05% (

1.05)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-0.04)

30.32% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5% (

-0.05)

66.5% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Watford 33.39%

Burnley 38.21%

Draw 28.4%

Watford	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.39%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.21%