Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Watford
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Norwich
Friday, April 11 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, April 11 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Watford 0-2 Burnley
Burnley will be full of confidence after winning four of their last five matches, and we think that the Clarets will move closer to securing promotion by beating a Watford side that have lost three of their previous five Championship games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Burnley |
33.39% ( -0.78) | 28.4% ( 0.2) | 38.21% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
