Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.