Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 1
Millwall

Brownhill (13', 90+3'), Anthony (65')
Brownhill (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ivanovic (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-5 Burnley
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Millwall
71.88% ( 0.19)	18.33% ( -0.17)	9.8% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

0.65)

48.36% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.5% (

0.59)

70.5% (

-0.59)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.24)

12.1% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

0.51)

37.65% (

-0.51)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.7% (

0.38)

53.29% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.16% (

0.24)

86.83% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Burnley 71.86%

Millwall 9.8%

Draw 18.33%

Burnley	Draw	Millwall
2-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 71.86%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 18.33%	0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.8%