/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog.png)
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Josh Brownhill
13'
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Jaidon Anthony
65'
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Josh Brownhill
90'+3'
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Josh Brownhill
90'+5'
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Mihailo Ivanovic
11'
Burnley vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F17%2Fburnley.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
71.88%
▲
(+0.19)
Draw
18.33%
▼
(-0.18)
Millwall
9.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
41.05%
▲
(+0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.64%
▲
(+0.66)
Under 2.5
48.36%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 3.5
29.5%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 3.5
70.5%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 4.5
14.33%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 4.5
85.67%
▼
(-0.41)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
87.9%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
12.1%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
62.35%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 1.5
37.65%
▼
(-0.51)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5
46.7%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
53.29%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 1.5
13.16%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
86.83%
▼
(-0.24)
Score analysis
Burnley
71.86%
Draw
18.33%
Millwall
9.8%
Burnley
2-0
@
14.38%
▼
(-0.11)
1-0 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 71.86%
1-0 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 71.86%
Draw
1-1
@
8.57%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 18.33%
0-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 18.33%
Millwall
0-1
@
4.06%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 9.8%
1-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 9.8%