Championship
Aug 16, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Zian Flemming 83' goal
  • Zian Flemming 84' yellowcard
  • Zian Flemming 90'+2' goal
  • goal Maximilian Kilman 10'
  • yellowcard Mohamadou Kanté 33'
  • yellowcard Taty Castellanos 67'
  • goal Manor Solomon 72'
  • yellowcard Mads Hermansen 84'
  • yellowcard El Hadji Malick Diouf 90'+5'

Burnley vs West Ham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
Burnley 3 - 1 Millwall

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2012 12.30pm
West Ham 2 - 1 Hull City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 35.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.42% ▲ (+0.04)
West Ham United 38.93% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 47.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 30.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 69.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.29% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Burnley 29.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 39.05% ▼ (-0.02)
West Ham United 31.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Burnley 44.47% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 6.11% ▲ (+0.03)
West Ham United 49.42% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 24.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 53.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 34.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 41.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 58.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 37.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 14.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 85.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.22% ▲ (+0.04)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5 72.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.01%
Under 1.5 59.99%
Over 2.5 16.21%
Under 2.5 83.79%
Over 3.5 5.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Burnley 35.68%
Draw 25.43%
West Ham United 38.92%
Burnley
1-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6%
Other @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 35.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.43%
West Ham United
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82%
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 38.92%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Laurent 46' yellowcard
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 66' yellowcard
  • Lyle Foster 67' yellowcard
  • Loum Tchaouna 67' yellowcard
  • Armando Broja 79' yellowcard
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 13'
  • goal Taty Castellanos 26'
  • yellowcard Freddie Potts 57'
  • yellowcard Pablo 79'
  • yellowcard Oliver Scarles 79'
  • yellowcard Adama Traoré 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker-Peters 90'+2'
Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT London Stadium
  • Tomas Soucek 44' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 46' goal
  • Lucas Paqueta 83' yellowcard
  • Danny Ings 90'+1' goal
  • goal David Datro Fofana 11'
  • goal Konstantinos Mavropanos 45'+1' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 64'
  • yellowcard Hannes Delcroix 72'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 76'
  • yellowcard Maxime Esteve 84'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Jordan Beyer 32' yellowcard
  • Jay Rodriguez 49' goal
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 39'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 39'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Coufal 66'
  • goal Dara O'Shea 86' (OG)
  • goal Tomas Soucek 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lukasz Fabianski 45' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 67' yellowcard
  • Tomas Soucek 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Cork 11'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 33'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 67'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 12, 2021 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charlie Taylor 33' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Dawson 90'+2'