Championship
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Carrow Road
  • Mohamed Touré 2' goal
  • Andre Brooks 5' goal
  • Ruairi McConville 16' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Touré 21' goal
  • José Córdoba 29' yellowcard
  • Andre Brooks 63' yellowcard
  • Anis Ben Slimane 65' yellowcard
  • Andre Brooks 67' goal
  • goal Josh Laurent 27'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 28'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 71'
  • redcard Josh Laurent 77'

Norwich City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Millwall 3 - 0 Norwich
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Andre Brooks

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.00pm
West Brom 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.41% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (5.99%).

Result

Norwich City 54.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 23.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Burnley 22.5% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 55.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 32.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 67.4% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 19.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.41% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 43.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 39.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Burnley 17.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Norwich City 62% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Burnley 32.22% ▼ (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 62.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 26.4% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 9 50.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 37.49% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 39.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 52.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 59.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 40.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 26.91% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 73.09% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 9.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.31% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Norwich City 54.02%
Draw 23.42%
Burnley 22.5%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 10.34% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 10.58%
Total : 54.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.42%
Burnley
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 22.5%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Hannibal Mejbri 14' goal
  • Jaidon Anthony 24' goal
  • Josh Cullen 35' yellowcard
  • Marcus Edwards 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 60'
  • yellowcard Anis Ben Slimane 66'
  • goal Jack Stacey 76'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Jose Cordoba 2' goal
  • Callum Doyle 46' yellowcard
  • Ante Crnac 53' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 87' yellowcard
  • goal Zian Flemming 68'
  • goal Josh Brownhill 76'
  • yellowcard James Trafford 87'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Carrow Road
  • goal Anass Zaroury 8'
  • goal Vitinho 54'
  • goal Hjalmar Ekdal 60'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Jay Rodriguez 82' goal
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 9' goal
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 26' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 86' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 78'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Tarkowski 11' yellowcard
  • Chris Wood 24' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lowton 25' yellowcard
  • Josh Brownhill 33' yellowcard
  • Jay Rodriguez 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Normann 27'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 74'