Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Carrow Road

Norwich City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Millwall 3 - 0 Norwich
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Mathias Kvistgaarden

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.00pm
West Brom 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw has a probability of 24.09% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Burnley win it is 1-2 (6.16%).

Result

Norwich City 52.64% (-0.07)
Draw 24.09% (-0.09)
Burnley 23.23% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.87% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.03% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 21.97% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 55.42% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 44.58% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 32.51% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 67.49% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 19.63% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 80.37% (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 42.98% (-0.05)
Draw 40.07% (+0.01)
Burnley 16.95% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Norwich City 64.12% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.19% (-0.09)
Burnley 29.69% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 58.55% (+0.24)
Equal 8 11.53% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.92% (-0.24)
Over 9 46.76% (+0.23)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.03)
Under 9 41.45% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 35.7% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 64.31% (-0.19)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 51.69% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 48.31% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 25.74% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 74.26% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 10.72% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 89.28% (-0.08)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 59.43% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 40.57% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 27.65% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 72.35% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 9.78% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 90.22% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 3.03% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.97% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Norwich City 52.65%
Draw 24.08%
Burnley 23.23%
Norwich City
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.37% (+0.09)
Total : 52.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.08%
Burnley
1-2 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 2.11% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.68% (+0.09)
Total : 23.23%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Hannibal Mejbri 14' goal
  • Jaidon Anthony 24' goal
  • Josh Cullen 35' yellowcard
  • Marcus Edwards 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 60'
  • yellowcard Anis Ben Slimane 66'
  • goal Jack Stacey 76'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Jose Cordoba 2' goal
  • Callum Doyle 46' yellowcard
  • Ante Crnac 53' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 87' yellowcard
  • goal Zian Flemming 68'
  • goal Josh Brownhill 76'
  • yellowcard James Trafford 87'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Carrow Road
  • goal Anass Zaroury 8'
  • goal Vitinho 54'
  • goal Hjalmar Ekdal 60'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Jay Rodriguez 82' goal
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 9' goal
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 26' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 86' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 78'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Tarkowski 11' yellowcard
  • Chris Wood 24' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lowton 25' yellowcard
  • Josh Brownhill 33' yellowcard
  • Jay Rodriguez 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Normann 27'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 74'