Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Swansea 2 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Millwall 0 - 3 Wrexham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 35.12% and a draw has a probability of 28.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 0-1 (11.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.27%).

Result

Swansea City 36.07% (+0.08)
Draw 28.81% (+0.20)
Wrexham 35.12% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.09% (-0.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.76% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 32.24% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 41.91% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 58.09% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 21.71% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 78.29% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 11.12% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 88.88% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 30.73% (-0.10)
Draw 44.68% (-0.04)
Wrexham 24.59% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 49.03% (-0.36)
No Goal 10.22% (+0.38)
Wrexham 40.75% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.81% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 29.33% (+0.01)
Over 9 46.6% (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.21%
Under 9 41.19% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 35.14% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.86% (+0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 32.27% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 67.73% (+0.43)
Over 2.5 11.63% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 88.37% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 3.47% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.53% (+0.08)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 66.44% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 33.56% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 31.32% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 68.68% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 11.12% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 88.88% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 3.19% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.81% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Swansea City 36.06%
Draw 28.81%
Wrexham 35.12%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.97% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.38% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.46% (-0.05)
Total : 36.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.22% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 28.81%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 11.04% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.21% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.18% (-0.16)
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Nathan Broadhead 25' goal
  • Josh Windass 67' yellowcard
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 85' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ji-sung Eom 59'
  • yellowcard Malick Yalcouyé 59'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 59'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 74'
  • yellowcard Leo Walta 82'
Championship
Dec 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Stamenic 20' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 70' goal
  • Ethan Galbraith 72' yellowcard
  • Adam Idah 90' goal
  • goal Cameron Burgess 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard George Thomason 18'
  • yellowcard James McClean 42'