Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joseph Opoku 67' yellowcard
  • Ben Cabango  77' yellowcard
  • Stephen Welsh 88' yellowcard

Swansea City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Swansea 2 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Millwall 0 - 3 Wrexham
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (10.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Swansea City 36.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 29.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Wrexham 33.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 42.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.8%
Under 4.5 89.2%

First Half Winner

Swansea City 32.26%
Draw 44.41%
Wrexham 23.33%

Team To Score First

Swansea City 50% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 10.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Wrexham 39.81% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 61.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 26.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 49.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.36%
Under 9 38.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 37.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 62.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 33.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.61%
Under 3.5 96.39%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 65.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.99%
Under 3.5 97.01%

Score analysis

Swansea City 36.78%
Draw 29.38%
Wrexham 33.79%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 29.38%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.79%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Nathan Broadhead 25' goal
  • Josh Windass 67' yellowcard
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 85' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ji-sung Eom 59'
  • yellowcard Malick Yalcouyé 59'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 59'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 74'
  • yellowcard Leo Walta 82'
Championship
Dec 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Stamenic 20' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 70' goal
  • Ethan Galbraith 72' yellowcard
  • Adam Idah 90' goal
  • goal Cameron Burgess 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard George Thomason 18'
  • yellowcard James McClean 42'