Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Ji-sung Eom 8' goal
  • Adam Idah 29' goal
  • yellowcard Omar Traoré 25'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 68'
  • yellowcard Kévin Keben 80'
  • yellowcard Jordan Zemura 90'+1'

Swansea City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 0 - 3 Swansea
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 1 - 1 West Ham
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Swansea City 42.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 28.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Watford 29.52% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.57% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 29.43% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 45.18% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 54.82% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 24.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 75.85% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 12.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 87.37% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 32.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 46.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Watford 21.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 53.66% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 9.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Watford 37.24%

Corners

Over 8 57.33%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 31.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 45.72%
Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.67%
Over 10.5 34.89%
Under 10.5 65.11%

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 15.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 5.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 63.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.93% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 9.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Swansea City 42.27%
Draw 28.19%
Watford 29.53%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 42.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.19%
Watford
0-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head

Championship
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 65' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 65' yellowcard
  • Nestory Irankunda 76' yellowcard
  • Nampalys Mendy 77' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Stamenić 55'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Nunes 59'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 59'
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 68'
  • yellowcard Malick Yalcouyé 69'
  • goal Josh Key 80'
  • yellowcard Josh Key 80'
Championship
Aug 23, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Moussa Sissoko 27' goal
  • Imran Louza 42' yellowcard
  • Egil Selvik 72' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 48'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 88'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Myles Peart-Harris 35' goal
  • Matt Grimes 40' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 44' yellowcard
  • Myles Peart-Harris 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 26'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 45'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ryan Porteous 57' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 67' yellowcard
  • Ryan Porteous 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Andrews 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 32'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 36'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • yellowcard Jake Livermore 30'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 73'
  • goal Ken Sema 82'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 86'