Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
The Den

Millwall vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 28.62% and a draw has a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 0-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.49%).

Result

Millwall 44.86% (+0.02)
Draw 26.56%
Wrexham 28.62% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.25% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.71% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 47.18% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.82% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.06%
Under 3.5 73.93% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.35%
Under 4.5 85.65%

First Half Winner

Millwall 36.15% (+0.01)
Draw 44.85% (-0.01)
Wrexham 19%

Team To Score First

Millwall 55.68% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.95%
Wrexham 36.37% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.64% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.38% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.97% (-0.07)
Over 9 54.39% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 34.35% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 43.19% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 56.81% (-0.06)

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 41.37%
Under 1.5 58.63%
Over 2.5 17.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.77% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.95%
Under 3.5 94.05%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 62.95%
Under 0.5 37.05%
Over 1.5 28.93% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.07% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 10.37%
Under 2.5 89.63%
Over 3.5 3.2% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Millwall 44.85%
Draw 26.55%
Wrexham 28.62%
Millwall
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.81%
Total : 44.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.55%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.06% (+0.02)
Total : 28.62%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Racecourse Ground
  • George Dobson 35' yellowcard
  • George Thomason 51' yellowcard
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 72' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 72' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 72' yellowcard
  • goal Max Cleworth 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 67'
  • yellowcard Tom Watson 73'
  • goal Josh Coburn 85'
  • yellowcard Zak Sturge 87'
  • yellowcard Luke Cundle 87'
  • yellowcard Derek Mazou-Sacko 87'
Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT