Championship Gameweek 4
Millwall
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
Wrexham
  • Casper De Norre 18' yellowcard
  • Lyndon Dykes 56' yellowcard
  • goal Zak Sturge 28' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ben Whiteman 36'
  • goal Kieffer Moore 52'
  • goal Jacques Ekomié 69'

Millwall vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 44.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Wrexham 28.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.45% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 27.55% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 47.4% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 52.6% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 26.31% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 73.69% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 14.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 85.47% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Millwall 36.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 44.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Wrexham 18.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Millwall 55.59% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 7.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Wrexham 36.53% ▲ (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 65.89% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 10.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 23.75% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 54.63% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 34.11% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 10.5 43.42% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 10.5 56.58% ▼ (-0.24)

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 41.54% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 58.46% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 17.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.66% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 93.99% ▼ (-0.07)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.05% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 70.95% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 10.48% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 89.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.74% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Millwall 44.9%
Draw 26.48%
Wrexham 28.61%
Millwall
1-0 @ 11.43% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 44.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.48%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 28.61%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 31
Wrexham
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Racecourse Ground
Millwall
  • George Dobson 35' yellowcard
  • George Thomason 51' yellowcard
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 72' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 72' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 72' yellowcard
  • goal Max Cleworth 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 67'
  • yellowcard Tom Watson 73'
  • goal Josh Coburn 85'
  • yellowcard Zak Sturge 87'
  • yellowcard Luke Cundle 87'
  • yellowcard Derek Mazou-Sacko 87'
Championship
Millwall
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Wrexham

Form Data

Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Cambridge 0 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 3 - 0 Norwich
Bristol City 0 - 2 Millwall
QPR 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 0 Antwerp
Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Wrexham 1 - 1 Watford
Cardiff 1 - 1 Wrexham
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Wrexham
Wrexham 1 - 0 Sunderland
Liverpool 1 - 0 Wrexham