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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Reading |
| 53.36% | 25.45% | 21.19% |
| Both teams to score 46.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% | 55.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% | 76.99% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% | 20.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.27% | 53.73% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% | 41.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% | 77.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 4.86% 4-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.17% Total : 21.19% |