World Cup Gameweek 1
Canada
Jun 12, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toronto Stadium
Bosnia H'vina
  • Alistair Johnston 11' yellowcard
  • Alistair Johnston 12' yellowcard
  • Luc De Fougerolles 53' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 78' goal
  • goal Jovo Lukic 21'
  • yellowcard Ermedin Demirovic 44'
  • yellowcard Ermedin Demirovic 45'
  • yellowcard Jovo Lukic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jovo Lukic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nikola Katic 90'+3'

Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Canada 50.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 26.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Bosnia-Herzegovina 22.72% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.82% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.96% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 30.04% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 44.46% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 55.54% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 22.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 77.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.6% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Canada 39.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 43.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Bosnia-Herzegovina 16.92%

Team To Score First

Canada 61.62% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Bosnia-Herzegovina 29.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.78%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 29.91%
Over 9 47.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 41.22%
Over 10.5 36.2%
Under 10.5 63.8%

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 43.99% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 56.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 19.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 80.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5 56.63% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 43.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 22.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 77.92% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 6.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.68%
Under 3.5 98.32%

Score analysis

Canada 50.78%
Draw 26.49%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 22.73%
Canada
1-0 @ 13.19% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 50.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.49%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0-1 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.73%

Form Data

Canada 1 - 1 Rep. Ireland
Canada 2 - 0 Uzbekistan
Canada 0 - 0 Tunisia
Canada 2 - 2 Iceland
Canada 1 - 0 Guatemala
Venezuela 0 - 2 Canada
Panama 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina
Bosnia H'vina 0 - 0 N. Macedonia
Bosnia H'vina 1 - 1 Italy
Wales 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina
Austria 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina
Austria 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

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