World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Italy

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw has a probability of 22.91% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it is 1-0 (5.76%).

Result

Bosnia-Herzegovina 21.8%
Draw 22.91%
Italy 55.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.1% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 21.9% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 55.35% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.65% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.41% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.59% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.2% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.8% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bosnia-Herzegovina 22.14%
Draw 37.2%
Italy 40.67%

Team To Score First

Bosnia-Herzegovina 34.87% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.84% (+0.01)
Italy 59.29%

Corners

Over 8 46.22%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 42.06%
Over 9 35.3%
Equal 9 10.92%
Under 9 53.78%
Over 10.5 25.92%
Under 10.5 74.08%

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 1.5 25.99% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 74.01% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.74% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.26% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.59% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.41% (+0.01)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 81.82% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 18.18% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 53.39% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.61% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 27.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.69% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.59% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 21.79%
Draw 22.91%
Italy 55.29%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.05%
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44% (-0.02)
Total : 21.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.91%
Italy
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.22%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 5.53%
2-3 @ 3.38%
Other @ 11.26% (-0.01)
Total : 55.29%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Davide Frattesi 38' goal
  • yellowcard Denis Huseinbasic 90'+3'
Nations League
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Bilino Polje
  • Advan Kadusic 62' yellowcard
  • goal Andrea Belotti 22'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 64'
  • yellowcard Domenico Berardi 65'
  • goal Domenico Berardi 68'
Nations League
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Andrea Belotti 65' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sensi 67' goal
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 80' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Bonucci 80' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 57'
  • yellowcard Gojko Cimirot 80'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Adnan Kovacevic 79' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 21'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 25'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 37'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 52'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bonucci 64'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jorginho 14' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 49' goal
  • Marco Verratti 86' goal
  • goal Edin Dzeko 32'
  • yellowcard Muhamed Besic 43'
  • yellowcard Eldar Civic 44'
  • yellowcard Elvis Saric 62'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 93'