World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Bosnia H'vina
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
ET Stadion Bilino Polje
Italy
  • Kerim Alajbegovic 46' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Tahirović 46' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Tahirović 54' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Haris Tabakovic 71' yellowcard
  • Dzenis Burnic 71' yellowcard
  • Haris Tabakovic 79' goal
  • Tarik Muharemović 102' yellowcard
  • Nikola Katic 114' yellowcard
  • Daan van Tooren 115' yellowcard
  • Amir Hadziahmetovic 115' yellowcard
  • goal Moise Kean 15'
  • redcard Alessandro Bastoni 41'
  • yellowcard Federico Gatti 44'
  • yellowcard Marco Palestra 46'
  • yellowcard Pio Esposito 71'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 71'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 81'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 85'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Spinazzola 91'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 120'+1'
  • yellowcard 120'+1'

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Italy

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.91% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Bosnia-Herzegovina 21.83%
Draw 22.91%
Italy 55.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.38%
Under 2.5 44.62%
Over 3.5 33.41%
Under 3.5 66.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.8% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bosnia-Herzegovina 22.14%
Draw 37.2%
Italy 40.67%

Team To Score First

Bosnia-Herzegovina 34.87%
No Goal 5.84%
Italy 59.29%

Corners

Over 8 46.22%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 42.06%
Over 9 35.3%
Equal 9 10.92%
Under 9 53.78%
Over 10.5 25.92%
Under 10.5 74.08%

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 1.5 26.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 81.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.37%
Under 1.5 46.63%
Over 2.5 27.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 11.4%
Under 3.5 88.6%

Score analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 21.83%
Draw 22.92%
Italy 55.26%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 5.76%
2-1 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.06%
3-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.92%
Italy
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38%
Other @ 11.25%
Total : 55.26%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Italy
Jun 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
Bosnia H'vina
  • Davide Frattesi 38' goal
  • yellowcard Denis Huseinbasic 90'+3'
Nations League
Bosnia H'vina
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Bilino Polje
Italy
  • Advan Kadusic 62' yellowcard
  • goal Andrea Belotti 22'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 64'
  • yellowcard Domenico Berardi 65'
  • goal Domenico Berardi 68'
Nations League
Italy
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Bosnia H'vina
  • Andrea Belotti 65' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sensi 67' goal
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 80' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Bonucci 80' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 57'
  • yellowcard Gojko Cimirot 80'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Bosnia H'vina
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Italy
  • Adnan Kovacevic 79' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 21'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 25'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 37'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 52'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bonucci 64'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Italy
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Bosnia H'vina
  • Jorginho 14' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 49' goal
  • Marco Verratti 86' goal
  • goal Edin Dzeko 32'
  • yellowcard Muhamed Besic 43'
  • yellowcard Eldar Civic 44'
  • yellowcard Elvis Saric 62'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 93'

Form Data

Wales 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina
Austria 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina
Austria 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina
Bosnia H'vina 0 - 0 Romania
Bosnia H'vina 3 - 1 Romania
Malta 1 - 4 Bosnia H'vina
Italy 2 - 0 N. Ireland
Italy 0 - 0 Norway
Italy 1 - 4 Norway
Moldova 0 - 0 Italy
Moldova 0 - 2 Italy
Italy 0 - 0 Israel

Build-up

News
News
How to watch
News