Brasileiro
Gameweek
23
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-
Robert Renan
39'
-
Paulo Henrique
84'
-
Gabriel Barbosa
68'
-
Willian Arão
77'
-
Luan Peres
81'
Vasco da Gama vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Santos had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result
Vasco da Gama
44.49%
▲
(+0.47)
Draw
27.02%
▲
(+0.15)
Santos
28.45%
▼
(-0.63)
Both Teams to Score:
51.67%
▼
(-0.76)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.8%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
28.2%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 2.5
46.54%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 2.5
53.46%
▲
(+0.62)
Over 3.5
24.51%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 3.5
75.49%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 4.5
12.95%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 4.5
87.05%
▲
(+0.43)
First Half Winner
Vasco da Gama
32.76%
▲
(+0.41)
Draw
43.35%
▲
(+0.06)
Santos
23.88%
▼
(-0.48)
Team To Score First
Vasco da Gama
51.64%
▲
(+1.08)
No Goal
8.18%
▲
(+0.22)
Santos
40.18%
▼
(-1.29)
Corners
Over 8
60.73%
▲
(+1.04)
Equal 8
11.12%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 8
28.15%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 9
49.13%
▲
(+1.10)
Equal 9
11.6%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 9
39.27%
▼
(-1.04)
Over 10.5
38.03%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 10.5
61.96%
▼
(-1.05)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 1.5
40.72%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
59.28%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 2.5
16.53%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
83.47%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
5.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
94.67%
▲
(+0.08)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5
63.4%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 0.5
36.6%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 1.5
28.28%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 1.5
71.72%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 2.5
9.41%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
90.59%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
2.42%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
97.58%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Vasco da Gama
44.49%
Draw
27.01%
Santos
28.45%
Vasco da Gama
1-0
@
11.5%
▲
(+0.36)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 44.49%
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 44.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.97%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 27.01%
0-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 27.01%
Santos
0-1
@
8.47%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 28.45%
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 28.45%
Head to Head
-
Marcos Leonardo
15'
-
Dodo
24'
-
Tomas Rincon
45'+1'
-
Marcos Leonardo
45'+3'
-
Tomas Rincon
45'+6'
-
Joao Paulo
60'
-
Yeferson Soteldo
60'
-
Lucas Lima
60'
-
Rodrigo Fernandez
61'
-
Yeferson Soteldo
75'
-
Douglas Moreira
90'+8'
-
Pablo Vegetti
31'
-
Sebastian Ferreira
55'
-
Gary Medel
60'