Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 9, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Santos
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 11.30pm
Corinthians 0 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw has a probability of 26.54% and a win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.26%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it is 0-1 (7.64%).

Result

Santos 54.74% (+0.78)
Draw 26.54% (-0.06)
Athletico Paranaense 18.72% (-0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.71% (-0.52)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.29% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 32.71% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 41.17% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 58.83% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 20.76% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 79.24% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.38% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 88.62% (-0.12)

First Half Winner

Santos 41.8% (+1.47)
Draw 43.34% (-1.04)
Athletico Paranaense 14.86% (-0.45)

Team To Score First

Santos 63.98% (+0.63)
No Goal 10.21% (+0.07)
Athletico Paranaense 25.81% (-0.70)

Corners

Over 8 58.55% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.98% (-0.14)
Under 8 29.47% (+0.20)
Over 9 46.24% (+0.10)
Equal 9 12.31% (-0.17)
Under 9 41.45% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 34.73% (+0.24)
Under 10.5 65.27% (-0.25)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 44.81% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 55.19% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 19.96% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 80.04% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 7.02% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 92.98% (-0.24)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 51.6% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 48.4% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 17.48% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 82.52% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 3.85% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 96.15% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 0.75% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 99.25% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Santos 54.74%
Draw 26.55%
Athletico Paranaense 18.74%
Santos
1-0 @ 14.89% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 10.75% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.3% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.01% (+0.25)
Total : 54.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.21% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.55%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.74% (-0.08)
Total : 18.74%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2026 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Julimar 6' yellowcard
  • Luiz Gustavo 42' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Kogitzki Anastacio 67' yellowcard
  • Dudu 67' yellowcard
  • Felipe Chiqueti Bandeira 67' yellowcard
  • Chiqueti 67' yellowcard
  • Jadson 89' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • Jádson 89' yellowcard
  • Bruno Braga Ramos 89' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega 90'+1' goal
  • Kevin Viveros 90'+1' goal
  • goal Thaciano 17'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 68'
  • yellowcard Moises 68'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 68'
  • yellowcard Moisés 68'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Diaz 88'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Díaz 88'
  • yellowcard Basso 88'
  • yellowcard Joao Basso 89'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Rollheiser 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Rollheiser 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Bueno 45'+6' goal
  • Fernandinho 56' yellowcard
  • Thiago Heleno 60' yellowcard
  • Erick 65' yellowcard
  • Madson 75' goal
  • Alex Santana 82' yellowcard
  • Caca 88' yellowcard
  • Willian 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 42'
  • yellowcard Joaquim 44'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 83'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morelos 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 5, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Lucas Lima 74' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 77' yellowcard
  • Stiven Mendoza 88' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Pablo 30'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 89'
  • yellowcard Vitor Bueno 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luan Vieira 35' goal
  • Nicolas Hernandez 90'+2' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2022 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nicolas Hernandez 8' yellowcard
  • Christian 25' yellowcard
  • Pablo 43' goal
  • Pablo 43' yellowcard
  • Leo Baptistao 56' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 69' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 83' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 11'
  • yellowcard Auro 39'
  • yellowcard Marcos Leonardo 53'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Julio 55'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 64'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 30, 2021 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ze Ivaldo 68' yellowcard
  • goal Madson 49'
  • yellowcard Joao Paulo 67'
  • yellowcard Vinicius 86'