Copa do Brasil
Aug 7, 2026 12.00am
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 1.00am
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Vitoria

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 1.00am
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Vitoria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 30.53% and a draw has a probability of 29.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win is 0-1 (9.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.3%).

Result

Vitoria 40.2% (+0.61)
Draw 29.27% (-0.27)
Athletico Paranaense 30.53% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.11% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.26% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 32.74% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 41.56% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 58.44% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 20.6% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 79.4% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 10.49% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 89.51% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 26.56% (+0.08)
Draw 48.44% (+0.01)
Athletico Paranaense 25% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 49.85% (+0.26)
No Goal 10.5% (-0.16)
Athletico Paranaense 39.65% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 53.4% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.75% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.85% (+0.31)
Over 9 41.83% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.57% (-0.04)
Under 9 46.6% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 31.36% (-0.20)
Under 10.5 68.64% (+0.19)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 35.08% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 64.92% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 13.2% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 86.8% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 4.17% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 95.83% (-0.19)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 62.56% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 37.44% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 27.63% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.37% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.28% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.72% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.59% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria 40.19%
Draw 29.26%
Athletico Paranaense 30.54%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.33% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.36% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.26% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.61% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.99% (+0.20)
Total : 40.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 10.5% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 29.26%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 30.54%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Aug 4, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • João Cruz 9' goal
  • Arthur Dias 26' yellowcard
  • Leozinho 50' yellowcard
  • Dudu 78' goal
  • Dudu 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martínez 21'
  • yellowcard Jair Ventura 33'
  • yellowcard Cacá 61'
  • redcard Emmanuel Martínez 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Apr 26, 2026 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • 34' yellowcard
  • Kevin Viveros 34' yellowcard
  • Dudu 63' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 79' yellowcard
  • Chiqueti 80' yellowcard
  • Renan Peixoto 90' yellowcard
  • Kevin Viveros 90'+2' goal
  • Luiz Gustavo 90'+8' goal
  • goal Renê 22'
  • yellowcard Ronald 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 74'
  • yellowcard Fabri 74'
  • yellowcard Marinho  79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 2, 2024 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Julimar 31' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 68' yellowcard
  • goal Alerrandro 33'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 52'
  • yellowcard Lucas Willians Assis Arcanjo 55'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Machado 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Leo Naldi 51' yellowcard
  • Jose Hugo 60' yellowcard
  • Caio Vinicius 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Zapelli 12'
  • goal Julimar 80'
  • yellowcard Pablo 82'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 17, 2018 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rhayner 31' yellowcard
  • Jeferson 54' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 71' yellowcard
  • Jeferson 89' redcard
  • Neilton 92' goal
  • goal Ramon 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 33'
  • yellowcard Leo Pereira 41'
  • yellowcard Jonathan 57'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Jul 29, 2018 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Marcelo 12' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 19' yellowcard
  • Marcinho 22' goal
  • Bruno Carvalho 30' yellowcard
  • Wellington Martins 45' goal
  • Renan Lodi 62' yellowcard
  • Pablo 70' goal
  • yellowcard Ramon 26'
  • yellowcard Neilton 44'
  • yellowcard Ruan 47'
  • yellowcard Bryan 55'
  • yellowcard Kanu 61'