Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Jul 30, 2026 1.30am
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 11.30pm
Remo 2 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Renê

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 11.30pm
Palmeiras 1 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.29%. A draw has a probability of 29.52% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (14.12%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 1-0 (8.48%).

Result

Vitoria 27.22% (-0.09)
Draw 29.52% (+0.09)
Palmeiras 43.29% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.51% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.71% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 28.29% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.77% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 54.23% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 23.94% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 76.06% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 12.26% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.74% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 22.44% (+0.07)
Draw 45.82% (+0.03)
Palmeiras 31.74% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 36.94% (-0.09)
No Goal 8.55% (-0.03)
Palmeiras 54.51% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 67.03% (+0.60)
Equal 8 10.4% (-0.05)
Under 8 22.58% (-0.55)
Over 9 55.6% (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 32.97% (-0.60)
Over 10.5 44.13% (+0.53)
Under 10.5 55.87% (-0.53)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 27.94% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.73% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.27% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.26% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.74% (+0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 75.05% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.95% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 40.33% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.67% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.61% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.39% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.59% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria 27.21%
Draw 29.52%
Palmeiras 43.29%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.08% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.69% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.95% (-0.03)
Total : 27.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.12% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.02)
Total : 29.52%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.28% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.81% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.1% (-0.03)
Total : 43.29%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 5, 2026 12.30am
5
1
HT : 5 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Murilo Cerqueira 24' goal
  • Murilo 24' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 28' goal
  • Gustavo Gómez 28' goal
  • Mauricio 45'+5' goal
  • Allan Andrade Elias 63' goal
  • Allan 63' goal
  • Ramon Sosa 72' yellowcard
  • Ramón Sosa 72' yellowcard
  • Ramon Sosa 80' goal
  • Ramón Sosa 80' goal
  • Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos 85' yellowcard
  • Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 85' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 85' yellowcard
  • Luis Felipe Pacheco da Costa 85' yellowcard
  • Luis Pacheco 85' yellowcard
  • Luighi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheusinho 46'
  • yellowcard Dudu 46'
  • yellowcard Mateusinho 46'
  • yellowcard Dudu Rodrigues 46'
  • goal Dudu 56'
  • goal Dudu Rodrigues 56'
  • yellowcard Matheuzinho 64'
  • yellowcard Luan Candido 69'
  • yellowcard Luan Cândido 69'
  • yellowcard Lawan Kennyd Gabriel Santos 78'
  • yellowcard Lawan 78'
Brasileiro
Nov 19, 2025 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 3, 2025 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 27, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gabriel Menino 50' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Muriel 28'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 36'
  • yellowcard Osvaldo 51'
  • goal Osvaldo 52'
  • yellowcard Edu 73'
  • yellowcard Thiago Carpini 76'
  • yellowcard Janderson 80'
  • goal Matheuzinho 83'
  • redcard Jose Breno Silva Costa 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Alerrandro 15' yellowcard
  • Lucas Esteves 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Camutanga 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 17'
  • goal Richard Rios 20'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 57'
  • yellowcard Mayke 85'
  • yellowcard Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 2, 2018 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edu Dracena 43' goal
  • Deyverson 56' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 57' goal
  • Felipe Melo 82' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 90' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Riberio 28'
  • yellowcard Luan 59'
  • goal Yago 71'
  • goal Luan 73'