Brasileiro
Gameweek
21
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fpallog.png)
-
Emmanuel Martínez
32'
-
Cacá
37'
-
Luan Cândido
40'
-
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
56'
-
Emanuel Brítez
66'
-
Marlon Freitas
14'
-
Mauricio
27'
-
Mauricio
45'+1'
-
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
45'+6'
(OG)
-
Jhon Arias
70'
-
Ramón Sosa
84'
Vitoria vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Fvitoria-boss-jair-ventura-pictured-on-march-11-2026-susa-69cc301119a18265441867.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.49% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.1%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (8.46%).
Result
Vitoria
27.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
29.49%
▼
(-0.04)
Palmeiras
43.22%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.58%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.77%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
28.23%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
45.88%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
54.12%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
24.01%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
75.99%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
12.3%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
87.7%
▼
(-0.04)
First Half Winner
Vitoria
22.44%
Draw
45.82%
Palmeiras
31.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Team To Score First
Vitoria
36.91%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
8.51%
▼
(-0.05)
Palmeiras
54.58%
▲
(+0.08)
Corners
Over 8
67.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 8
10.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
22.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
55.65%
▲
(+0.05)
Equal 9
11.42%
Under 9
32.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 10.5
44.18%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 10.5
55.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Vitoria Goals
Over 1.5
28.04%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
71.96%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
8.78%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
91.22%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
2.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
97.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5
75.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
24.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
40.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
59.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
16.63%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
83.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
5.41%
Under 3.5
94.59%
Score analysis
Vitoria
27.25%
Draw
29.49%
Palmeiras
43.23%
Vitoria
1-0
@
8.46%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.25%
2-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.25%
Draw
1-1
@
14.1%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 29.49%
0-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 29.49%
Palmeiras
0-1
@
11.23%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 43.23%
1-2 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 43.23%
Head to Head
-
Murilo Cerqueira
24'
-
Murilo
24'
-
Gustavo Gomez
28'
-
Gustavo Gómez
28'
-
Mauricio
45'+5'
-
Allan Andrade Elias
63'
-
Allan
63'
-
Ramon Sosa
72'
-
Ramón Sosa
72'
-
Ramon Sosa
80'
-
Ramón Sosa
80'
-
Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
85'
-
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
85'
-
Bruno Rodrigues
85'
-
Luis Felipe Pacheco da Costa
85'
-
Luis Pacheco
85'
-
Luighi
85'
-
Matheusinho
46'
-
Dudu
46'
-
Mateusinho
46'
-
Dudu Rodrigues
46'
-
Dudu
56'
-
Dudu Rodrigues
56'
-
Matheuzinho
64'
-
Luan Candido
69'
-
Luan Cândido
69'
-
Lawan Kennyd Gabriel Santos
78'
-
Lawan
78'