Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Palmeiras
Jul 26, 2026 11.30pm
Allianz Parque
Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 11.30pm
Coritiba 1 - 3 Palmeiras
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 11.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw has a probability of 22.7% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 14.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (5.57%).

Result

Palmeiras 62.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.7%
Atletico Mineiro 14.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.2% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 47.2% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 52.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.32% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 46.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 39.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Atletico Mineiro 14.76%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 67.09% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 7.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Atletico Mineiro 25.34% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 63.96% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 24.61% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 51.65% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 9 12.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 36.04% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 10.5 39.63% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 60.37% ▼ (-0.18)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 53.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 46.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.24%
Under 3.5 89.76%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 48.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 51.66% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 15.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 84.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 3.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 96.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 62.64%
Draw 22.7%
Atletico Mineiro 14.69%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.64%
3-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.23%
Total : 62.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.7%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 14.69%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Atletico Mineiro
Jan 28, 2026 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Arena MRV
Palmeiras
  • Victor Hugo 44' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 61' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 61' yellowcard
  • Tomás Cuello 61' yellowcard
  • Khellven 74' goal
  • Alexsander 76' yellowcard
  • Reinier Jesus 85' yellowcard
  • Reinier 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 27'
  • goal José Manuel López 27'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 76'
  • yellowcard Riquelme Fillipi Marinho de Souza 83'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino 83'
  • yellowcard Agustin Giay 83'
  • yellowcard Riquelme Fillipi 83'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 83'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 83'
  • goal Vitor Roque 84'
  • yellowcard Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 85'
  • yellowcard Luighi 85'
Brasileiro
Atletico Mineiro
Dec 4, 2025 12.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Palmeiras
  • Ruan 31' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 9'
  • goal Allan Andrade Elias 20'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 34'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 43'
  • redcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 57'
  • yellowcard Carlos Miguel 65'
  • goal Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Palmeiras
Jul 20, 2025 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Palmeiras
Sep 28, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
Atletico Mineiro
  • Murilo Cerqueira 8' goal
  • Fabinho 25' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+2' goal
  • Murilo Cerqueira 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 86' goal
  • yellowcard Rubens 26'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 45'
  • goal Hulk 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Atletico Mineiro
Jun 18, 2024 12.30am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Arena MRV
Palmeiras
  • Igor Rabello 22' yellowcard
  • Igor Rabello 22' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 23' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 23' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' redcard
  • Hulk 31' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' redcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 36' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 36' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 61' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 61' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 73' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 73' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+7' redcard
  • Paulinho 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Anibal Moreno 25'
  • goal Anibal Moreno 25'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Rony 52'
  • yellowcard Rony 52'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 60'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 60'
  • goal Estevao Willian 61'
  • goal Estevao Willian 61'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+5'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Palmeiras
Oct 19, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Parque
Atletico Mineiro
  • Kevin 20' yellowcard
  • Rony 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Jhon Jhon 55' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 69' yellowcard
  • Endrick 90' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal 2'
  • goal Hulk 2'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 57'
  • yellowcard Matias Zaracho 70'
  • yellowcard Rubens 74'
  • goal Paulinho 76'

Form Data

Coritiba 1 - 3 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Chapecoense
Palmeiras 4 - 1 Junior
Flamengo 0 - 3 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 0 - 1 Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras 1 - 1 Cruzeiro
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia
Vasco 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Puerto Cabello
Corinthians 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 0 Cienciano
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Mirassol