Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Jul 30, 2026 11.30pm
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 8.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 10.30pm
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Internacional
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.02% and a win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%) , while for a Athletico Paranaense win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result

Corinthians 51.23% (+0.02)
Draw 26.02% (+0.04)
Athletico Paranaense 22.78% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.22% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 27.78% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 46.98% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 53.02% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 25.38% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 74.62% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 14.21% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 85.79% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 36.98% (-0.10)
Draw 46.02% (+0.12)
Athletico Paranaense 17% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Corinthians 60.88% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.93% (+0.05)
Athletico Paranaense 31.19% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 56.36% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.78%
Under 8 31.86% (-0.04)
Over 9 44.49% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 43.64% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 33.52% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 66.48% (-0.04)

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 45.78% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.22% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.21% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 79.79% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 7.29% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 92.71% (+0.10)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 57.86% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.14% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 23.92% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 76.08% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 7.54% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 92.46% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.97% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.03% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Corinthians 51.22%
Draw 26.03%
Athletico Paranaense 22.79%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.72% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.52% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.82% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.19% (-0.10)
Total : 51.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.93% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.03%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 7.17% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.87% (-0.06)
Total : 22.79%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 19, 2026 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Julimar 16' yellowcard
  • Chiqueti 46' yellowcard
  • Bruno Braga Ramos 67' yellowcard
  • Léo Derik 70' yellowcard
  • Dudu 82' yellowcard
  • João Cruz 82' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Garro 21'
  • yellowcard Gui Negão 61'
  • yellowcard Allan 61'
  • yellowcard André Luiz Santos Dias 61'
  • yellowcard André Ramalho 75'
  • yellowcard André Carrillo 82'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 11, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 18, 2024 12.00am
5
2
HT : 4 4
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Matheuzinho 5' goal
  • Matheuzinho 5' goal
  • Caca 18' goal
  • Caca 18' goal
  • Memphis Depay 25' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 25' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 55' goal
  • Memphis Depay 55' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 59' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 59' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 66' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 66' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 78' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 78' goal
  • Caca 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 25'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 25'
  • goal Nikao 30'
  • goal Nikao 30'
  • goal Erick 39'
  • goal Erick 39'
  • yellowcard Julimar 44'
  • yellowcard Julimar 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 54'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Alinja Arena
  • Christian 45' goal
  • Fernandinho 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Di Yorio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 40'
  • goal Caca 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 1, 2023 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Yuri Alberto 64' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitor Bueno 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 62'