Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 30, 2026 1.20am
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Palmeiras 4 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 32.98% and a draw has a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 0-1 (9.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 39.84% (+1.08)
Draw 27.21% (-0.17)
Cruzeiro 32.98% (-0.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.7% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.3% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.21% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 54.82% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 23.03% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 76.97% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 12% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 88% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 31.64% (+1.20)
Draw 47.83% (-0.40)
Cruzeiro 20.53% (-0.80)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 53.12% (+1.26)
No Goal 8.8% (+0.08)
Cruzeiro 38.08% (-1.33)

Corners

Over 8 55.87% (+2.65)
Equal 8 11.6% (+0.25)
Under 8 32.53% (-2.90)
Over 9 44.22% (+2.16)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.48)
Under 9 44.13% (-2.65)
Over 10.5 33.49% (+1.58)
Under 10.5 66.51% (-1.57)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 36.18% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 63.82% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 13.63% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 86.37% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 3.93% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.07% (-0.08)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 66.19% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 33.81% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 31.26% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 68.74% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 11.11% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 88.89% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.17% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.83% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 39.85%
Draw 27.22%
Cruzeiro 33%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 7% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.16% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.92% (+0.07)
Total : 39.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.8% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.22%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.43)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16% (+0.02)
Total : 33%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2026 11.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Christian 8' goal
  • Néiser Villarreal 60' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 60' yellowcard
  • Néiser Villarreal 61' yellowcard
  • Néiser Villarreal 70' goal
  • Wanderson 88' yellowcard
  • Japa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kauã Moraes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Japa 90'+4' goal
  • goal Cauan Barros 52'
  • goal Cauan Barros 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 61'
  • yellowcard José Luis Rodríguez 62'
  • yellowcard Brenner 62'
  • yellowcard JP 83'
  • goal Brenner 86'
  • yellowcard Lucas Freitas 88'
Brasileiro
Sep 27, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Joao Havelange
  • Christian 64' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Ze Ivaldo 60' goal
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 41'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 65'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 72'
  • redcard Matheus Carvalho 79'
  • yellowcard Emerson Rodriguez 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 38' yellowcard
  • David 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Arthur Rodrigues Viana 69'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 79'
  • yellowcard William 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 22, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Arthur 26' yellowcard
  • Arthur 41' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 45'+9' goal
  • goal Jose Luis Rodriguez 15'
  • goal Gabriel Pec 77'
  • redcard Rossi 86'