Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 11.30pm
Corinthians 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
Mirassol 1 - 5 Flamengo
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 33.18% and a draw has a probability of 29.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 1-0 (10.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.2%).

Result

Cruzeiro 33.18% (+0.58)
Draw 29.16% (-0.06)
Flamengo 37.65% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.67% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.6% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 30.4% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 42.92% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 57.08% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 22.46% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 77.54% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 11.43% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 88.57% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 28.43% (+0.06)
Draw 45.41% (+0.12)
Flamengo 26.16% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 50% (+0.08)
No Goal 9.22% (-0.17)
Flamengo 40.78% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 50.44% (+0.27)
Equal 8 11.46% (+0.02)
Under 8 38.1% (-0.29)
Over 9 39.41% (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.04% (+0.03)
Under 9 49.56% (-0.26)
Over 10.5 29.6% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 70.41% (-0.19)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 30.75% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 69.25% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 10.45% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 89.55% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 3.04% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.96% (-0.09)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 69.67% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 30.33% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 34.23% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 65.77% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 12.85% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.15% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.91% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.09% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 33.17%
Draw 29.17%
Flamengo 37.64%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 10.24% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.55% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.82% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.77% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.11% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.92% (+0.09)
Total : 33.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.2% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 29.17%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 8.08% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.79% (-0.03)
Total : 37.64%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 35' goal
  • Samuel Lino 62' goal
  • Bruno Henrique  90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Romero 51'
  • yellowcard William 70'
  • yellowcard João Costa 90'+4'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Matheus Henrique 11' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 53' goal
  • Fabrício Bruno 66' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgian de Arrascaeta 30'
  • goal Lucas Paquetá 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 5' goal
  • Samuel Lino 65' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 74' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 89' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 89' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco da Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 76'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 78'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 86'
  • yellowcard Japa 86'
Brasileiro
Oct 3, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 15' goal
  • Lucas Romero 39' yellowcard
  • Christian 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 74'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 7, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 87'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'