Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Fabrício Bruno 20' yellowcard
  • João Marcelo 36' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 55' goal
  • Wesley 86' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 90'+5' goal
  • goal Pedro 22'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  82'

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 11.30pm
Corinthians 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
Mirassol 1 - 5 Flamengo
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (10.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 33.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 29.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Flamengo 37.68% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.78% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.73% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 30.27% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 42.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 57.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 77.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 11.47% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.53% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 28.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 45.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Flamengo 26.2% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 50.02% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 9.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Flamengo 40.78% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 38.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 39.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 49.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 70.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 30.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 69.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 30.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 34.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 65.68% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 12.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 87.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 33.17%
Draw 29.18%
Flamengo 37.69%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 33.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.21%
0-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 29.18%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 10.9% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 37.69%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 35' goal
  • Samuel Lino 62' goal
  • Bruno Henrique  90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Romero 51'
  • yellowcard William 70'
  • yellowcard João Costa 90'+4'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Matheus Henrique 11' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 53' goal
  • Fabrício Bruno 66' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgian de Arrascaeta 30'
  • goal Lucas Paquetá 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 5' goal
  • Samuel Lino 65' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 74' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 89' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 89' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco da Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 76'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 78'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 86'
  • yellowcard Japa 86'
Brasileiro
Oct 3, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 15' goal
  • Lucas Romero 39' yellowcard
  • Christian 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 74'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 7, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 87'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'