Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Jul 31, 2026 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Thiago Santos 37' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Pereira 66'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 90'+2'

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 10.30pm
Bragantino 0 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 8.00pm
Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Coritiba 31.3% (+5.20)
Draw 27.39% (-0.42)
Cruzeiro 41.31% (-4.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.6% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.03% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 29.97% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 44.34% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 55.66% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 22.9% (+0.99)
Under 3.5 77.1% (-1.00)
Over 4.5 11.86% (+0.79)
Under 4.5 88.14% (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 21.48% (+0.08)
Draw 47.26% (+0.01)
Cruzeiro 31.26% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 39.86% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.96% (-0.27)
Cruzeiro 51.18% (+0.36)

Corners

Over 8 45.39% (-13.58)
Equal 8 11.15% (-0.51)
Under 8 43.45% (+14.08)
Over 9 35.05% (-11.92)
Equal 9 10.35% (-1.66)
Under 9 54.61% (+13.58)
Over 10.5 26.16% (-9.50)
Under 10.5 73.84% (+9.50)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 29.66% (+4.65)
Under 1.5 70.34% (-4.65)
Over 2.5 10.43% (+3.14)
Under 2.5 89.57% (-3.15)
Over 3.5 3.04% (+1.44)
Under 3.5 96.96% (-1.45)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 71.19% (-3.33)
Under 0.5 28.81% (+3.32)
Over 1.5 37.19% (-3.54)
Under 1.5 62.81% (+3.54)
Over 2.5 14.14% (-2.00)
Under 2.5 85.86% (+2.00)
Over 3.5 4.26% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 95.74% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Coritiba 31.3%
Draw 27.39%
Cruzeiro 41.31%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 9.41% (+0.51)
2-1 @ 7.04% (+0.68)
2-0 @ 5.31% (+0.95)
3-1 @ 2.65% (+0.68)
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.71)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.27)
Other @ 2.97% (+1.43)
Total : 31.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 8.96% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.03)
Total : 27.39%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.91)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.83)
0-2 @ 7.67% (-1.00)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.49)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.61)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.14)
Other @ 4.19% (-0.84)
Total : 41.31%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 6, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 19' goal
  • Wanderson 46' yellowcard
  • Fagner 59' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 59' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 78' yellowcard
  • Kauã Prates de Almeida 83' yellowcard
  • Kauã Prates 83' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquin Lavega 45'
  • goal Joaquín Lavega 45'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Romualdo dos Santos 46'
  • yellowcard Vini Paulista 46'
  • goal Breno Lopes 53'
  • yellowcard Keno 67'
  • yellowcard Keno 68'
  • yellowcard Jacy Maranhao Oliveira 73'
  • yellowcard Fernando Sobral 73'
  • yellowcard Jacy 73'
  • yellowcard Thiago 87'
  • yellowcard Thiago Santos 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • Thalisson 28' yellowcard
  • Marcelino Moreno 72' yellowcard
  • Reynaldo 83' yellowcard
  • Robson 85' yellowcard
  • Robson 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Jussa 67'
  • yellowcard Ian Luccas 73'
  • goal Bruno Rodrigues 80'
  • yellowcard Machado 88'
  • yellowcard Neris 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto