Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 9, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 11.30pm
Internacional 1 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Pedro

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 1.30am
Vitoria 0 - 4 Palmeiras
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 73.41%. A draw has a probability of 18.25% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 8.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.26%) and 3-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.17%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 0-1 (3.73%).

Result

Flamengo 73.41% (-0.36)
Draw 18.25% (-0.02)
Vitoria 8.33% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.3% (+0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 25.36% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 51.09% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 48.91% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 28.8% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 71.2% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 19.35% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 80.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 52.85% (+0.04)
Draw 36.92% (-0.08)
Vitoria 10.23% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 73.3% (+0.18)
No Goal 7.14% (-0.25)
Vitoria 19.56% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.88% (+0.53)
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 26.94% (-0.52)
Over 9 50.11% (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.77% (+0.05)
Under 9 38.12% (-0.52)
Over 10.5 38.77% (+0.39)
Under 10.5 61.23% (-0.39)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 62.32% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 37.68% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 35.04%
Under 2.5 64.96%
Over 3.5 16.03% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 83.97% (+0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 38.15% (+0.97)
Under 0.5 61.85% (-0.97)
Over 1.5 9.96% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 90.04% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 1.39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 98.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.22%
Under 3.5 99.78%

Score analysis

Flamengo 73.42%
Draw 18.26%
Vitoria 8.34%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.36)
2-0 @ 14.26% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 9.94% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 6.42% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.4% (+0.05)
Other @ 16.02% (-0.02)
Total : 73.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.17% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 2.69% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.26%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 3.73% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 2.38% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.1% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 8.34%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
May 15, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Erick 7' goal
  • Luan Cândido 62' goal
  • Diego Tarzia 74' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 75' yellowcard
  • Marinho  75' yellowcard
  • Caíque Gonçalves 89' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton 63'
  • yellowcard Pedro 63'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Varela 71'
  • yellowcard Wallace Yan 77'
Copa do Brasil
Apr 23, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Evertton Araújo 10' goal
  • Saúl Ñíguez  46' yellowcard
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 46' yellowcard
  • Pedro 52' goal
  • Alex Sandro 71' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 80' yellowcard
  • goal Erick 11'
  • yellowcard Marinho  57'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 80'
  • yellowcard Fabri 80'
  • yellowcard Fabri 81'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Zé Breno 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 51' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 64' yellowcard
  • Aitor Cantalapiedra 67' yellowcard
  • Marinho 67' yellowcard
  • Fabricio 78' yellowcard
  • Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 78' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martinez 79' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martínez 79' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodrigues 89' yellowcard
  • goal Erick Pulgar 15'
  • goal Everton 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 56'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 56'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 65'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 87'
Brasileiro
Aug 26, 2025 1.00am
8
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 6, 2025 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Wellington Rato 77' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 62'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Gabriel Barbosa 59' goal
  • Ayrton Lucas 80' goal
  • goal Alerrandro 16'
  • yellowcard Edu 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 56'
  • goal Janderson 74'