Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 9, 2026 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Erick Pulgar 14' goal
  • Gonzalo Plata 79' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique  80' goal
  • yellowcard Zé Vitor 44'

Flamengo vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 11.30pm
Internacional 1 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pedro

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 1.30am
Vitoria 0 - 4 Palmeiras
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.21% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 73.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 18.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Vitoria 8.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.37% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 51.22% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 48.78% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 28.97% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 71.03% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 19.51% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 80.49% ▼ (-0.17)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 52.69% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 36.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Vitoria 10.34% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 73.44% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 7.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Vitoria 19.46% ▼ (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 61.11% ▼ (-0.78)
Equal 8 11.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 27.72% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 9 49.42% ▼ (-0.69)
Equal 9 11.69% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 38.89% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 10.5 38.22% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 10.5 61.78% ▲ (+0.56)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 62.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 37.58% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 35.2% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 64.8% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 16.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 83.86% ▼ (-0.11)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 38.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 61.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 9.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 90.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 98.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 73.48%
Draw 18.22%
Vitoria 8.32%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 14.48% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 14.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 16.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 73.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.22%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 8.32%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
May 15, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Erick 7' goal
  • Luan Cândido 62' goal
  • Diego Tarzia 74' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 75' yellowcard
  • Marinho  75' yellowcard
  • Caíque Gonçalves 89' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton 63'
  • yellowcard Pedro 63'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Varela 71'
  • yellowcard Wallace Yan 77'
Copa do Brasil
Apr 23, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Evertton Araújo 10' goal
  • Saúl Ñíguez  46' yellowcard
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 46' yellowcard
  • Pedro 52' goal
  • Alex Sandro 71' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 80' yellowcard
  • goal Erick 11'
  • yellowcard Marinho  57'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 80'
  • yellowcard Fabri 80'
  • yellowcard Fabri 81'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Zé Breno 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 51' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 64' yellowcard
  • Aitor Cantalapiedra 67' yellowcard
  • Marinho 67' yellowcard
  • Fabricio 78' yellowcard
  • Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 78' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martinez 79' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martínez 79' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodrigues 89' yellowcard
  • goal Erick Pulgar 15'
  • goal Everton 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 56'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 56'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 65'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 87'
Brasileiro
Aug 26, 2025 1.00am
8
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 6, 2025 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Wellington Rato 77' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 62'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Gabriel Barbosa 59' goal
  • Ayrton Lucas 80' goal
  • goal Alerrandro 16'
  • yellowcard Edu 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 56'
  • goal Janderson 74'

Build-up

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