Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 11.30pm
Flamengo 2 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw has a probability of 28.84% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.82%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 1-0 (9.29%).

Result

Mirassol 27.12%
Draw 28.84%
Flamengo 44.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.22%
Under 1.5 30.78%
Over 2.5 42.91%
Under 2.5 57.06%
Over 3.5 21.88%
Under 3.5 78.09%
Over 4.5 11.08%
Under 4.5 88.92%

First Half Winner

Mirassol 23.33%
Draw 45.83%
Flamengo 30.85%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 41.5%
No Goal 9.36%
Flamengo 49.14%

Corners

Over 8 55.49%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 32.69%
Over 9 43.69%
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 44.51%
Over 10.5 32.87%
Under 10.5 67.13%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 25.85%
Under 1.5 74.15%
Over 2.5 7.42%
Under 2.5 92.58%
Over 3.5 1.76%
Under 3.5 98.24%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 73.53%
Under 0.5 26.47%
Over 1.5 38.9%
Under 1.5 61.1%
Over 2.5 15.7%
Under 2.5 84.3%
Over 3.5 4.9%
Under 3.5 95.1%

Score analysis

Mirassol 27.13%
Draw 28.82%
Flamengo 44.01%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 9.29%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 27.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.82%
0-0 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 28.82%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 12.09%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-2 @ 7.96%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 44.01%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Brasileiro
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Chico 13' goal
  • Alesson 41' goal
  • Cristian Renato Goncalves Riquelme 65' goal
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Jose Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Telles 8'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 31'
  • yellowcard Iago Teodoro da Silva Nogueira 45'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 59'
Brasileiro
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT