Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Denilson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cazonatti 51' yellowcard
  • João Victor 77' goal
  • Neto Moura 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Carrascal 22'
  • goal Luiz Araújo 53'
  • goal Pedro 56'
  • goal Pedro 66'
  • goal Samuel Lino 74'

Mirassol vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 11.30pm
Flamengo 2 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.05% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 27.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.74%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 1-0 (9.58%).

Result

Mirassol 27.64% ▼ (-1.72)
Draw 29.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Flamengo 43.32% ▲ (+1.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.3% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.11% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 31.89% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 41.71% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 21.12% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 78.88% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 10.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.36% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 23.4% ▼ (-0.68)
Draw 45.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Flamengo 30.81% ▲ (+0.83)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 41.3% ▼ (-1.72)
No Goal 9.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Flamengo 48.83% ▲ (+1.62)

Corners

Over 8 55.81% ▲ (+1.92)
Equal 8 11.73% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 32.47% ▼ (-1.82)
Over 9 44.04% ▲ (+1.82)
Equal 9 11.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 44.19% ▼ (-1.92)
Over 10.5 33.22% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 10.5 66.78% ▼ (-1.60)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 25.74% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 1.5 74.26% ▲ (+1.50)
Over 2.5 7.46% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 2.5 92.54% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 3.5 1.75% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 98.25% ▲ (+0.25)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 72.65% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 0.5 27.35% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 1.5 37.75% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 1.5 62.25% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 2.5 14.82% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 2.5 85.18% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 3.5 4.53% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 95.47% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Mirassol 27.62%
Draw 29.05%
Flamengo 43.32%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.35)
2-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.46)
2-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 27.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.05%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 12.43% ▲ (+0.53)
1-2 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.37)
1-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 43.32%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Brasileiro
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Chico 13' goal
  • Alesson 41' goal
  • Cristian Renato Goncalves Riquelme 65' goal
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Jose Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Telles 8'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 31'
  • yellowcard Iago Teodoro da Silva Nogueira 45'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 59'
Brasileiro
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT