Copa Libertadores
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Flamengo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 34.98% and a draw has a probability of 28.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 1-0 (10.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.28%).

Result

Cruzeiro 34.98% (+0.58)
Draw 28.27% (+0.04)
Flamengo 36.75% (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.09% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 29.91% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 44.22% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 55.78% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 23.27% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 76.73% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 12.35% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 28.6% (-0.65)
Draw 46.93% (+0.25)
Flamengo 24.47% (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 50.62% (-1.43)
No Goal 8.97% (-0.14)
Flamengo 40.41% (+1.57)

Corners

Over 8 49.52% (-2.27)
Equal 8 11.46% (+0.15)
Under 8 39.01% (+2.12)
Over 9 38.55% (-2.23)
Equal 9 10.97% (-0.05)
Under 9 50.48% (+2.27)
Over 10.5 28.86% (-2.00)
Under 10.5 71.14% (+2.00)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 32.58% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 67.42% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 11.75% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 88.25% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 3.7% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 96.3% (-0.19)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 68.22% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 31.78% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 34.06% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 65.94% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 13.32%
Under 2.5 86.68%
Over 3.5 4.06% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 95.94% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 34.98%
Draw 28.26%
Flamengo 36.75%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 10.57% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.66% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.86% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.55% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.49% (+0.16)
Total : 34.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.03)
Total : 28.26%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.37)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.89% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.85% (-0.19)
Total : 36.75%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 5' goal
  • Samuel Lino 65' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 74' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 89' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 89' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco da Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 76'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 78'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 86'
  • yellowcard Japa 86'
Brasileiro
Oct 3, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 15' goal
  • Lucas Romero 39' yellowcard
  • Christian 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 74'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 7, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 87'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 17' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 22' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 26'
  • goal Matheus Pereira 38'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 64'
  • yellowcard William 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Helibelton Palacios 38' yellowcard
  • Wesley 68' yellowcard
  • Wesley 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Maia 3'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 39'
  • goal Pedro 44'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 78'