Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Corinthians
Aug 16, 2026 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Corinthians
Cruzeiro
  • Gustavo Henrique 58' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Rodrigues 36'
  • yellowcard Felipe Morais 51'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Jesus 67'
  • goal Wanderson 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 90'
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodríguez 90'

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 10.30pm
Bragantino 0 - 2 Corinthians
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Rodrigo Garro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (11.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Corinthians 35.45% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 29.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Cruzeiro 35.15% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 33.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 40.27%
Under 2.5 59.73%
Over 3.5 19.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.32% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 31.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 47.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Cruzeiro 21.09% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Corinthians 50.63% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 10.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Cruzeiro 38.88% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 46.71% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 41.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 35.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 64.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 30.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 69.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 10.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 89.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 66.28% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 33.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 30.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.35% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 10.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 89.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Corinthians 35.46%
Draw 29.4%
Cruzeiro 35.15%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 11.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 35.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.49% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 29.4%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.15%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Cruzeiro
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Corinthians
  • Matheus Pereira 9' goal
  • Keny Arroyo 60' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 79' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 79' yellowcard
  • Fagner 82' yellowcard
  • Fagner 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dieguinho 46'
  • yellowcard André Luiz Santos Dias 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 67'
  • yellowcard Allan 67'
  • yellowcard Allan 68'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 78'
  • goal Tchoca 82'
Copa do Brasil
Corinthians
Dec 14, 2025 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
ET
Cruzeiro
  • Breno Bidon 13' yellowcard
  • Fabrizio Angileri 19' yellowcard
  • Matheus Bidu 55' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 84' yellowcard
  • Raniele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 13'
  • goal Keny Alexander Arroyo Alvarado 40'
  • goal Keny Alexander Arroyo Alvarado 50'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 88'
Copa do Brasil
Cruzeiro
Dec 11, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Corinthians
  • Matheus Pereira 74' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 75' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 84' yellowcard
  • goal Memphis Depay 22'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 52'
  • yellowcard Hugo Souza 78'
  • yellowcard Maycon 86'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • yellowcard André Luiz Santos Dias 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 90'+3'
Brasileiro
Cruzeiro
Nov 23, 2025 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Corinthians
Brasileiro
Corinthians
Jul 23, 2025 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cruzeiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Corinthians
Nov 20, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Corinthians
Cruzeiro
  • Memphis Depay 10' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 15' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 40' yellowcard
  • Andre Carrillo 59' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kaiki Bruno 34'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 42'
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 45'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 50'

Form Data

Rosario 0 - 0 Corinthians
Bragantino 0 - 2 Corinthians
Corinthians 2 - 1 Internacional
Internacional 2 - 0 Corinthians
Corinthians 0 - 0 Athletico PR
Bahia 1 - 1 Corinthians
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Flamengo
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Chapecoense
Chapecoense 0 - 0 Cruzeiro
Coritiba 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Botafogo