Copa Libertadores
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Flamengo

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw has a probability of 24.34% and a win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.36%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it is 0-1 (6.23%).

Result

Flamengo 56.36% (-0.65)
Draw 24.34% (-0.04)
Cruzeiro 19.3% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.16% (+1.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.46% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 26.54% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 48.66% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 51.34% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 26.9% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 73.1% (-0.68)
Over 4.5 15.83% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 84.17% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 43.09%
Draw 39.94%
Cruzeiro 16.96%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 62.19% (+0.20)
No Goal 7.63% (-0.30)
Cruzeiro 30.18% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 53.88%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 34.86%
Over 9 42.74%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 46.12%
Over 10.5 32.58%
Under 10.5 67.42%

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 50.39% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 49.61% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.09% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 75.91% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 9.48% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.52% (-0.04)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 53.91% (+1.08)
Under 0.5 46.09% (-1.08)
Over 1.5 21.24% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 78.76% (-0.94)
Over 2.5 6.22% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 93.78% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 1.48% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 98.52% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Flamengo 56.37%
Draw 24.34%
Cruzeiro 19.3%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 12.69% (-0.43)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.30)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.16% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.10)
Other @ 9.36% (+0.02)
Total : 56.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 24.34%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 4.96% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 2.82% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.5% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.36% (+0.13)
Total : 19.3%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Matheus Henrique 11' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 53' goal
  • Fabrício Bruno 66' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgian de Arrascaeta 30'
  • goal Lucas Paquetá 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 5' goal
  • Samuel Lino 65' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 74' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 89' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 89' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco da Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 76'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 78'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 86'
  • yellowcard Japa 86'
Brasileiro
Oct 3, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 15' goal
  • Lucas Romero 39' yellowcard
  • Christian 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 74'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 7, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 87'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 17' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 22' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 26'
  • goal Matheus Pereira 38'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 64'
  • yellowcard William 90'+6'