Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Fluminense 3 - 2 Palmeiras
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 3 Santos
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw has a probability of 26.22% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (6.48%).

Result

Palmeiras 56.02% (-0.08)
Draw 26.22% (+0.74)
Vasco da Gama 17.72% (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.8% (-0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.74% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 31.26% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 42.97% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 57.03% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 21.77% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 78.23% (+0.60)
Over 4.5 12.45% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 87.55% (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 40.42% (-0.02)
Draw 44.44% (+0.86)
Vasco da Gama 15.14% (-0.84)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 62.27% (-0.58)
No Goal 9.78% (+0.48)
Vasco da Gama 27.95% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 60.31% (-0.40)
Equal 8 10.77% (-0.22)
Under 8 28.92% (+0.63)
Over 9 49.13% (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.18% (-0.27)
Under 9 39.69% (+0.40)
Over 10.5 38.45% (+0.16)
Under 10.5 61.55% (-0.16)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 46.7% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 53.3% (+0.43)
Over 2.5 20.76% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 79.24% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 7.67% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 92.33% (+0.18)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 50.29% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 49.71% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 17.73% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 82.27% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 5.09% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 94.91% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.11% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.89% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 56.02%
Draw 26.21%
Vasco da Gama 17.72%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.95% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 11.42% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 5.99% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.18)
Other @ 7.52% (-0.28)
Total : 56.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.78% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.09)
Total : 26.21%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.96% (-0.02)
Total : 17.72%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Cuiabano 46' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 57' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 57' yellowcard
  • Adson 57' yellowcard
  • Thiago Mendes 63' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 69' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 74' goal
  • Cauan Barros 78' yellowcard
  • goal José Manuel López 40'
  • yellowcard Luighi 69'
  • yellowcard Allan 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 72'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 72'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 82'
Brasileiro
Oct 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 51' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Roque 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 76'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Weverton 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 56' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 16'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 48'
  • yellowcard Ze Gabriel 64'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+9'