Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marlon Freitas 9' yellowcard
  • José Manuel López 47' goal
  • Vitor Roque 51' goal
  • Mauricio 56' goal
  • José Manuel López 89' goal
  • yellowcard Andrés Gómez 44'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes  50'
  • yellowcard Robert Renan 83'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 90'+4'

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Fluminense 3 - 2 Palmeiras
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 3 Santos
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.79%).

Result

Palmeiras 55.03% ▼ (-1.00)
Draw 26% ▼ (-0.22)
Vasco da Gama 18.96% ▲ (+1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.34% ▲ (+1.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.53% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 1.5 30.47% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 2.5 43.93% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 2.5 56.07% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 3.5 22.46% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 3.5 77.54% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 4.5 12.73% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 87.27% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 39.54% ▼ (-0.89)
Draw 44.23% ▼ (-0.22)
Vasco da Gama 16.22% ▲ (+1.08)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 61.74% ▼ (-0.54)
No Goal 9.33% ▼ (-0.45)
Vasco da Gama 28.93% ▲ (+0.99)

Corners

Over 8 60.93% ▲ (+0.62)
Equal 8 10.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 28.31% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 9 49.7% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 39.07% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 10.5 38.91% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 10.5 61.09% ▼ (-0.46)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 46.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 79.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 7.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 92.45% ▲ (+0.13)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 52.18% ▲ (+1.90)
Under 0.5 47.82% ▼ (-1.90)
Over 1.5 18.96% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 1.5 81.04% ▼ (-1.23)
Over 2.5 5.43% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 94.57% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 1.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.83% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 55.04%
Draw 25.99%
Vasco da Gama 18.95%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.33% ▼ (-0.62)
2-0 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.44)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 55.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.45)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.99%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.31)
1-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 18.95%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Cuiabano 46' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 57' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 57' yellowcard
  • Adson 57' yellowcard
  • Thiago Mendes 63' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 69' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 74' goal
  • Cauan Barros 78' yellowcard
  • goal José Manuel López 40'
  • yellowcard Luighi 69'
  • yellowcard Allan 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 72'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 72'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 82'
Brasileiro
Oct 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 51' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Roque 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 76'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Weverton 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 56' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 16'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 48'
  • yellowcard Ze Gabriel 64'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+9'