Copa do Brasil
Aug 2, 2026 8.00pm
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Fortaleza

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw has a probability of 25.59% and a win for Fortaleza has a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Fortaleza win it is 0-1 (7.2%).

Result

Palmeiras 54.09% (+0.47)
Draw 25.59% (-0.06)
Fortaleza 20.37% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.68% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.47% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 28.53% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 45.72% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 54.29% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 23.92% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 76.08% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.77% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.23% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 38.99% (+0.11)
Draw 42.63% (-0.15)
Fortaleza 18.37% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 62.31% (+0.18)
No Goal 8.36% (-0.06)
Fortaleza 29.33% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 65.84% (+0.47)
Equal 8 10.09% (-0.05)
Under 8 24.07% (-0.43)
Over 9 54.88% (+0.48)
Equal 9 10.95%
Under 9 34.16% (-0.48)
Over 10.5 43.95% (+0.43)
Under 10.5 56.05% (-0.43)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 47.37% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 52.63% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 21.58% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 78.42% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 8.11% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 91.89% (-0.10)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 54.28% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 45.72% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 20.36% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 79.64% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 6.19% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 93.81% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 1.44% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 98.56% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 54.09%
Draw 25.59%
Fortaleza 20.38%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 13.03%
2-0 @ 10.66% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.78% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.69% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.95% (+0.12)
Total : 54.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 25.59%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.28% (-0.06)
Total : 20.38%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 21, 2025 1.00am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2025 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Allanzinho 29' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 70' goal
  • goal Facundo Torres 45'+4'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 58'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Mayke 18' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 29' goal
  • Estevao Willian 57' goal
  • yellowcard Eros Mancuso 24'
  • goal Hercules 39'
  • goal Moises 63'
  • yellowcard Titi 72'
  • yellowcard Pedro Augusto 88'
  • yellowcard Juan Martin Lucero 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Britez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Pedro Augusto 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Juan Martin Lucero 9' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 9' goal
  • Pedro Augusto 12' yellowcard
  • Pedro Augusto 12' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 47' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 47' goal
  • Emanuel Britez 67' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Britez 67' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 69' goal
  • Bruno Pacheco 69' goal
  • yellowcard Rony 46'
  • yellowcard Rony 46'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 57'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 26, 2023 9.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Bruno Pacheco 14' yellowcard
  • Thiago Galhardo 20' goal
  • Calebe 70' goal
  • Marinho 90'+7' yellowcard
  • redcard Gustavo Gomez 59'
  • goal Raphael Veiga 66'
  • yellowcard Mayke 74'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Garcia 75'
  • goal Ze Rafael 77'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 8' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 76' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 79' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 81' yellowcard
  • Weverton 83' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo 6'
  • yellowcard Titi 9'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 45'
  • yellowcard J. P. Vojvoda 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sasha 75'
  • yellowcard Jose Welison 78'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Britez 82'
  • yellowcard Silvio Romero 85'