Copa do Brasil
Mar 17, 2026 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Jânio de Moraes
  • Weverton 66' yellowcard
  • Leonardo David 66' yellowcard
  • Arthur Neves 78' yellowcard
  • Rickelme 78' yellowcard
  • Pedro Thomaz Menta de Souza 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Miritello 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Santos 46'
  • goal Vitinho 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Welliton 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Crispim 81'
  • yellowcard Lucca Prior 81'

Nova Iguacu vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nova Iguacu

All competitions

Fortaleza

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Nova Iguacu had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Nova Iguacu win was 1-0 (10.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Nova Iguacu 30.78% (+0.72)
Draw 29.3% (+0.27)
Fortaleza 39.92% (-0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.11% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.76% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 34.24% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 39.77% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 60.23% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 19.35% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 80.65% (+0.58)
Over 4.5 9.83% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 90.17% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Nova Iguacu 27.7% (+0.59)
Draw 46.52% (-0.22)
Fortaleza 25.77% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

Nova Iguacu 42.45% (+0.32)
No Goal 11.04% (+0.35)
Fortaleza 46.51% (-0.67)

Corners

Over 8 45.34% (-0.86)
Equal 8 12.19% (-0.33)
Under 8 42.47% (+1.18)
Over 9 34.07% (-0.51)
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.38)
Under 9 54.66% (+0.86)
Over 10.5 24.5% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 75.5% (+0.16)

Nova Iguacu Goals

Over 1.5 26.94% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 73.06% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 8.65% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 91.35% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.37% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 97.63% (-0.10)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 68.6% (-1.10)
Under 0.5 31.4% (+1.09)
Over 1.5 33.59% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 66.41% (+1.11)
Over 2.5 12.57% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 87.43% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 3.76% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 96.24% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Nova Iguacu 30.78%
Draw 29.29%
Fortaleza 39.93%
Nova Iguacu
1-0 @ 10.59% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 6.9% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 5.38% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.1% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.29% (+0.09)
Total : 30.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.04% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 29.29%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 12.61% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 7.31% (-0.27)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.68% (-0.17)
Total : 39.93%