Copa do Brasil
Mar 17, 2026 10.00pm
Estádio Jânio de Moraes

Nova Iguacu vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nova Iguacu

All competitions

Fortaleza

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a TBC win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for TBC has a probability of 30.07% and a draw has a probability of 29.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a TBC win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest TBC win is 1-0 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.26%).

Result

Nova Iguacu 30.07%
Draw 29.04%
Fortaleza 40.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.26%
Under 1.5 33.74%
Over 2.5 40.27%
Under 2.5 59.73%
Over 3.5 19.92%
Under 3.5 80.08%
Over 4.5 10.09%
Under 4.5 89.91%

First Half Winner

Nova Iguacu 27.11%
Draw 46.74%
Fortaleza 26.15%

Team To Score First

Nova Iguacu 42.14%
No Goal 10.69%
Fortaleza 47.17%

Corners

Over 8 46.2%
Equal 8 12.5%
Under 8 41.3%
Over 9 34.58%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 53.8%
Over 10.5 24.66%
Under 10.5 75.34%

Nova Iguacu Goals

Over 1.5 26.68%
Under 1.5 73.32%
Over 2.5 8.6%
Under 2.5 91.4%
Over 3.5 2.28%
Under 3.5 97.72%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 69.69%
Under 0.5 30.31%
Over 1.5 34.69%
Under 1.5 65.31%
Over 2.5 13.04%
Under 2.5 86.96%
Over 3.5 3.92%
Under 3.5 96.08%

Score analysis

Nova Iguacu 30.07%
Draw 29.04%
Fortaleza 40.89%
Nova Iguacu
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 5.16%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 29.04%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 12.74%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.57%
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 40.89%