Copa do Brasil
Mar 11, 2026 12.00am

Castanhal vs Nova Iguacu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castanhal

All competitions

Nova Iguacu

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nova Iguacu win with a probability of 41.58%. A draw has a probability of 30.55% and a win for Castanhal has a probability of 27.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nova Iguacu win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.74%) , while for a Castanhal win it is 1-0 (10.68%).

Result

Castanhal 27.87% (+0.06)
Draw 30.55%
Nova Iguacu 41.58% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.12% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.48% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 36.52% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 36.85%
Under 2.5 63.15%
Over 3.5 17.78%
Under 3.5 82.22%
Over 4.5 8.84%
Under 4.5 91.16%

First Half Winner

Castanhal 25.85%
Draw 47.58%
Nova Iguacu 26.57%

Team To Score First

Castanhal 39.47% (+0.01)
No Goal 12.11% (-0.03)
Nova Iguacu 48.42% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.39% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.05%
Under 8 35.57% (+0.01)
Over 9 40.65% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 47.61% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 30.15% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 69.85% (-0.02)

Castanhal Goals

Over 1.5 23.62% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.38% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 6.66%
Under 2.5 93.34%
Over 3.5 1.72% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.28% (-0.02)

Nova Iguacu Goals

Over 0.5 69.17%
Under 0.5 30.83%
Over 1.5 33.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.5% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.5% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.79%
Under 3.5 96.21%

Score analysis

Castanhal 27.87%
Draw 30.55%
Nova Iguacu 41.59%
Castanhal
1-0 @ 10.68% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.25%
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Total : 27.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.74% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 12.11% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 30.55%
Nova Iguacu
0-1 @ 13.74% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 41.59%