Copa do Brasil
Mar 11, 2026 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT
  • goal Jorge Pedra 20'
  • goal Léo Rafael 29'
  • goal Vinicius Charopem 35'
  • goal Iago 45'+4'

Castanhal vs Nova Iguacu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castanhal

All competitions

Nova Iguacu

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nova Iguacu win with a probability of 44.13%. A draw had a probability of 30.05% and a win for Castanhal had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nova Iguacu win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%) , while for a Castanhal win it was 1-0 (10.37%).

Result

Castanhal 25.82% (+0.04)
Draw 30.05% (-0.03)
Nova Iguacu 44.13% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.84% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.51% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 35.83% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 64.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 82.68% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 8.66% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.34% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Castanhal 25.3% (+0.09)
Draw 47.39% (+0.11)
Nova Iguacu 27.31% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Castanhal 38.42% (+0.06)
No Goal 12.39% (-0.04)
Nova Iguacu 49.19% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.39% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.61% (-0.10)
Over 9 39.79% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.02)
Under 9 48.61% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.48% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.52% (-0.04)

Castanhal Goals

Over 1.5 21.48% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.52% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.84%
Under 2.5 94.16%
Over 3.5 1.47%
Under 3.5 98.53%

Nova Iguacu Goals

Over 0.5 70.05% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.95% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.03% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.03%
Under 3.5 95.97%

Score analysis

Castanhal 25.81%
Draw 30.06%
Nova Iguacu 44.13%
Castanhal
1-0 @ 10.37% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.17%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.39% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.75% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 30.06%
Nova Iguacu
0-1 @ 14.75% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 44.13%