Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Estádio Jânio de Moraes

Nova Iguacu vs Lagarto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nova Iguacu

All competitions

Lagarto

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nova Iguacu win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Lagarto has a probability of 27.21% and a draw has a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nova Iguacu win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Lagarto win is 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Nova Iguacu 45.99% (+0.11)
Draw 26.85% (+0.05)
Lagarto 27.21% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.76% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.39% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 31.61% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 43.8% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 56.2% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 22.84% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 77.16% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 12.45% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 87.55% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Nova Iguacu 31.06%
Draw 44.7%
Lagarto 24.24%

Team To Score First

Nova Iguacu 48.24% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.55% (+0.09)
Lagarto 42.21% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 45.57%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 42.88%
Over 9 34.86%
Equal 9 10.71%
Under 9 54.43%
Over 10.5 25.68%
Under 10.5 74.32%

Nova Iguacu Goals

Over 1.5 39.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.07% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.93% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 5.96% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.04% (+0.02)

Lagarto Goals

Over 0.5 59.28% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 40.72% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 25.06% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 74.94% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.34% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.66% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Nova Iguacu 45.99%
Draw 26.84%
Lagarto 27.21%
Nova Iguacu
1-0 @ 12.92% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.18% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.82% (-0.01)
Total : 45.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 9.55% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.84%
Lagarto
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.17% (-0.02)
Total : 27.21%