Copa do Brasil
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
1
1
ET Estádio Luso-Brasileiro
  • Lucas Cruz 10' goal
  • Lucas Cirilo 46' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Kayron 46' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Charopem 58' yellowcard
  • Rickelme 58' yellowcard
  • Pedro Thomaz Menta de Souza 64' yellowcard
  • goal Erik Gabriel 31'
  • yellowcard Denis 69'
  • yellowcard Bruno Silva Britto 70'
  • yellowcard Adelan Santos da Silva 76'
  • yellowcard Dadinha 77'
  • yellowcard Leozao 89'

Nova Iguacu vs Lagarto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nova Iguacu

All competitions

Lagarto

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nova Iguacu win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Lagarto had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nova Iguacu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Lagarto win was 0-1 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Nova Iguacu 42.73% (-2.34)
Draw 27.16% (-0.27)
Lagarto 30.11% (+2.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.03% (+2.64)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.3% (+2.46)
Under 1.5 29.7% (-2.46)
Over 2.5 45.48% (+2.62)
Under 2.5 54.52% (-2.62)
Over 3.5 23.69% (+1.65)
Under 3.5 76.31% (-1.65)
Over 4.5 13.04% (+1.05)
Under 4.5 86.96% (-1.06)

First Half Winner

Nova Iguacu 29.33% (-1.39)
Draw 44.69% (-0.54)
Lagarto 25.98% (+1.91)

Team To Score First

Nova Iguacu 46.76% (-1.50)
No Goal 9.11% (-0.80)
Lagarto 44.13% (+2.29)

Corners

Over 8 42.62% (-3.41)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.18)
Under 8 45.54% (+3.58)
Over 9 31.91% (-2.95)
Equal 9 10.71% (-0.46)
Under 9 57.38% (+3.41)
Over 10.5 22.96% (-2.33)
Under 10.5 77.04% (+2.34)

Nova Iguacu Goals

Over 1.5 38.62% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 61.38% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 16.48% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83.52% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.53% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.47% (+0.13)

Lagarto Goals

Over 0.5 62.83% (+3.47)
Under 0.5 37.17% (-3.47)
Over 1.5 28.5% (+3.59)
Under 1.5 71.5% (-3.60)
Over 2.5 9.78% (+1.85)
Under 2.5 90.22% (-1.85)
Over 3.5 2.96% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 97.04% (-0.79)

Score analysis

Nova Iguacu 42.73%
Draw 27.15%
Lagarto 30.09%
Nova Iguacu
1-0 @ 11.21% (-1.54)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.67)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.25)
Other @ 5.39% (-0.21)
Total : 42.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.80)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.41)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.10)
Total : 27.15%
Lagarto
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.02% (+0.48)
0-2 @ 4.89% (+0.61)
1-3 @ 2.26% (+0.28)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.57)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.82% (+0.70)
Total : 30.09%