Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nova Iguacu win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Lagarto has a probability of 27.21% and a draw has a probability of 26.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nova Iguacu win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Lagarto win is 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).